Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Coventry City FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Coventry City FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
04 Jan Norwich City FC A 2–0 W
01 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Watford FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
04 Jan Birmingham City FC A 2–3 L
01 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
20 Dec Southampton FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Coventry City FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Coventry City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC43% Draw30% Coventry City FC27%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Coventry City FC
57%
Stoke City FC or Coventry City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC27% Draw53% Coventry City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.