Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 30 Jul 2022 · 14:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
07 May AFC Bournemouth A 0–1 L
30 Apr Peterborough United FC H 3–0 W
23 Apr Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
15 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Millwall FC A 0–2 L
07 May Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
30 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
23 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
15 Apr Bristol City FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#3 Position #17
83 Points 55
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
64 Scored 51
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD -5
1.80 PPG 1.20
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Millwall FC and Stoke City FC get this one started.
  • 5' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 12' Charlie Cresswell is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael O'Neill will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 22' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 32' The 34-year-old Ryan Leonard has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Charlie Cresswell gets a Yellow card.
  • 43' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Aden Flint.
  • 44' The referee has no hesitation. Aden Flint is booked for Stoke City FC — Yellow card on 44.
  • 49' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Murray Wallace made 382 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Dwight Gayle is replaced by Jacob Brown.
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' GOAL! Charlie Cresswell scores on 65.
  • 66' William Smallbone is replacing Sam Clucas for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 71' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 76' Mason Bennett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Bradshaw at the 76 minute mark.
  • 79' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Ben Wilmot has done his job and it is now time for Gavin Kilkenny to step up.
  • 83' Gavin Kilkenny catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 83.
  • 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Millwall FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC59% Draw25% Stoke City FC16%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Stoke City FC
41%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC40% Draw48% Stoke City FC12%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.