Sunday , 16 August 2026

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
3 – 4
Full Time
Cardiff City FC
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 12,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Rubin Colwill
0–2 19' Yousef Salech
Lewis Koumas 42' 1–2
Lewis Koumas 46' 2–2
Lewis Baker pen 57' 3–2
3–3 68' Rubin Colwill
Y 88' Rubin Colwill
Ben Gibson 90' Y
Y 90' Callum O'Dowda
Y 98' Will Fish

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
6
5
Stoke City FC 13 games · Avg 2.7 goals Cardiff City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
18 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
Cardiff City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Stoke City FC A 4–2 W
01 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–7 L
25 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Millwall FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Watford FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Stoke City FC to score. At the same time, Cardiff City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 8' Brilliant from the ! Rubin Colwill makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 8.
  • 13' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' Jesper Daland is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cardiff City FC so far.
  • 19' Assisted by Joel Bagan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yousef Salech makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 24' Luey Giles has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact .
  • 34' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' A stunning finish from Lewis Koumas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' What an equalizer from Lewis Koumas!
  • 46' Cardiff City FC make a change. Luey Giles trudges off to be replaced by Jesper Daland on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Cardiff City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Will Alves is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cardiff City FC tonight.
  • 57' What a moment for Lewis Baker! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Jesper Daland exits the field as Calum Chambers enters on 57.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Ramsey suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Sivert Mannsverk is replaced by Joe Ralls on 63 minute.
  • 68' Brilliant from the ! Rubin Colwill makes it 3-3 with a superb finish on 68.
  • 73' Favour Fawunmi gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Andre Vidigal and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Sivert Mannsverk has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 81' Cardiff City FC ring the changes. Anwar El Ghazi has done his job and it is now time for Will Alves to step up.
  • 86' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Joon-ho Bae is replaced by Bosun Lawal.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Rubin Colwill.
  • 88' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Josh Wilson-Esbrand is withdrawn and Enda Stevens gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ben Gibson is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 90.
  • 2-4 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rubin Colwill 3
Lewis Baker 2
Sean Morrison 2
Lewis Koumas 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Joon-ho Bae 1
Kion Etete 1
Karlan Grant 1

Head to Head

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W 2025-01-25 Stoke City FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-01-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Stoke City FC L 2025-01-18 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC W 2025-02-01 Leeds United FC 7–0 Cardiff City FC L 2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC37% Draw26% Cardiff City FC37%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC30% Draw42% Cardiff City FC28%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.