Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
3 – 4
Full Time
Cardiff City FC
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 12,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Rubin Colwill
0–2 19' Yousef Salech
Lewis Koumas 42' 1–2
Lewis Koumas 46' 2–2
Lewis Baker pen 57' 3–2
3–3 68' Rubin Colwill
Y 88' Rubin Colwill
Ben Gibson 90' Y
Y 90' Callum O'Dowda
Y 98' Will Fish

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
7
5
Stoke City FC 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cardiff City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
18 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
Cardiff City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Stoke City FC A 4–2 W
01 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–7 L
25 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Millwall FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Watford FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Stoke City FC host Cardiff City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Cardiff City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 8' Against the run of play, Rubin Colwill has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 13' Cardiff City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cardiff City FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 19' GOAL! Yousef Salech fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 24' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' Joe Ralls has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Cardiff City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 42' What composure from Lewis Koumas! The Wales international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 46' GOAL! Lewis Koumas scores on 46. Assisted by Josh Wilson-Esbrand
  • 46' The whistle greets Luey Giles as he departs to be replaced by Jesper Daland.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lewis Baker makes it 3-2.
  • 57' Calum Chambers gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Jesper Daland and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 63' Cardiff City FC make a change. Sivert Mannsverk trudges off to be replaced by Joe Ralls on 63 minutes.
  • 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rubin Colwill makes no mistake. 3-3!
  • 73' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Andre Vidigal is replaced by Favour Fawunmi.
  • 78' Ethan Horvath, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 81' Another change for Cardiff City FC made on 81 minute. Anwar El Ghazi leaves to be changed by Will Alves.
  • 86' Cardiff City FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Joel Colwill scoring 1 goals.
  • 87' Stoke City FC make a change. Joon-ho Bae trudges off to be replaced by Bosun Lawal on 87 minutes.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Rubin Colwill. He receives a card.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Josh Wilson-Esbrand is replaced by Enda Stevens on 88 minute.
  • 90' That is a card for Stoke City FC. Ben Gibson will be fuming at that decision.
  • The final score is 2-4.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rubin Colwill 3
Lewis Baker 2
Sean Morrison 2
Lewis Koumas 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Karlan Grant 1
Leandro Bacuna 1
Jordan Hugill 1

Head to Head

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W 2025-01-25 Stoke City FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-01-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Stoke City FC L 2025-01-18 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC W 2025-02-01 Leeds United FC 7–0 Cardiff City FC L 2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC37% Draw26% Cardiff City FC37%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC30% Draw42% Cardiff City FC28%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.