Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois 29, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Maxime Esteve og
Teji Savanier pen 51' 1–1
1–3 90+3' Kamory Doumbia

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Gaillouste
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Francois Boudikian

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 1–3 L
10 Nov OGC Nice H 0–0 D
03 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
29 Oct Toulouse FC H 3–0 W
22 Oct FC Nantes A 0–2 L
01 Oct FC Lorient A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Montpellier HSC A 3–1 W
05 Nov AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–3 L
22 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
08 Oct Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
01 Oct OGC Nice A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stade de la Mosson. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stade Brestois 29 that had 444 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 20' Maxime Esteve puts Montpellier HSC on the lead.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Teji Savanier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 29' A quiet spell here at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier HSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Pierre Lees Melou.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eric Roy might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' Romain Del Castillo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 51' Teji Savanier is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the attacking midfielder.
  • 56' Hugo Magnetti has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 444 appearances.
  • 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' The Stade Brestois 29 manager makes a substitution. Martin Satriano departs to be replaced by Steve Mounie.
  • 64' Goal! Mathias Pereira Lage scores his 20 goal in 358 matches.
  • 66' The Montpellier HSC bench stirs into life. Khalil Fayad is withdrawn and Wahbi Khazri gets his opportunity.
  • 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pierre Lees Melou made 442 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Stade Brestois 29! Kamory Doumbia comes on to replace Romain Del Castillo.
  • 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Montpellier HSC and Stade Brestois 29 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Joris Chotard is replaced by Arnaud Nordin.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Stade Brestois 29Adrien Lebeau on, Hugo Magnetti off on 87 minutes.
  • 88' The Stade Brestois 29 manager makes a substitution. Mahdi Camara departs to be replaced by Jonas Martin.
  • 90' Akor Adams picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Montpellier HSC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Stade Brestois 29 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC47% Draw27% Stade Brestois 2926%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
74%
Draw or Stade Brestois 29
53%
Montpellier HSC or Stade Brestois 29
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC35% Draw46% Stade Brestois 2919%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Stade Brestois 29 covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
35%
Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.