Spain vs Germany, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Germany — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
11 games this season
🟨 3.9/game
⚽ 9.5 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Spain kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Spain must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 8' Dani Olmo is replacing Pedri for the Spain side.
- 13' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Antonio Rudiger on 13 minutes.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robert Andrich suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Germany started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 28' That is a card for Germany. David Raum will be fuming at that decision.
- 29' Robin Le Normand is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis de la Fuente will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' It’s high time Julian Nagelsmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' Spain ring the changes. Robin Le Normand has done his job and it is now time for Nacho to step up.
- 51' The deadlock is broken! Dani Olmo gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
- 56' That looks like a foul for a card for Robert Andrich.
- 57' The Germany bench stirs into life. David Raum is withdrawn and Maximilian Mittelstadt gets his opportunity.
- 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Florian Wirtz, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 63' Spain manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ferran Torres is hanging Lamine Yamal on the field on 63 minute.
- 67' Toni Kroos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' Germany come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maximilian Mittelstadt on 73.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Ferran Torres.
- 79' Germany is showing some good football. However, Germany are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 80' The whistle greets Nico Williams as he departs to be replaced by Mikel Merino.
- 82' Poor challenge from Unai Simon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' Spain looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Dani Olmo scoring 1 goals.
- 89' Florian Wirtz adds to his 2 season tally! Germany lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 89' Nico Schlotterbeck picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Another three points for Spain.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
- 14
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 24
-
8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Joselu 102'
-
3
Robin Le Normand ↓ Nacho 46'
- 20
-
17
Nico Williams ↓ Mikel Merino 80'
-
19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 63'
Bench
- 26
-
9
Joselu ↑ 102'
- 1
-
11
Ferran Torres ↑ 63'
-
6
Mikel Merino ↑ 80'
- 22
- 13
- 5
-
4
Nacho ↑ 46'
-
10
Dani Olmo ↑ 8'
- 12
- 18
-
21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 80'
- 15
- 25
Coach
Luis de la Fuente
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 21
-
19
Leroy Sane ↓ Florian Wirtz 46'
- 1
- 6
-
4
Jonathan Tah ↓ Thomas Muller 80'
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Waldemar Anton 91'
- 3
- 8
-
25
Emre Can ↓ Robert Andrich 46'
- 10
Bench
- 5
- 20
-
13
Thomas Muller ↑ 80'
-
9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 57'
-
16
Waldemar Anton ↑ 91'
- 12
-
18
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 57'
- 24
- 11
-
23
Robert Andrich ↑ 46'
- 22
- 15
- 14
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Antonio Rudiger | 1 |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
| Mikel Merino | 1 |
| Dani Olmo | 1 |
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
78%
Draw or Germany
47%
Spain or Germany
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.