Germany vs Scotland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Germany vs Scotland — European Championship at Allianz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
- Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Scotland this season
Scotland this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Scotland
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Scotland
| Scott McTominay | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Germany welcome Scotland for this crunch clash at Allianz Arena.
- 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Callum McGregor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Scotland.
- 10' Brilliant from the ! Florian Wirtz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
- 15' Germany seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' Magnificent from Jamal Musiala! That is 75 goals in 550 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' Germany receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' Scotland player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Against the run of play, Kai Havertz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' Pascal Gross gets the nod from Germany. He replaces Robert Andrich and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' Anthony Ralston picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Nagelsmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jonathan Tah on 62 minutes.
- 63' Niclas Fullkrug gets the nod from Germany. He replaces Kai Havertz and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Fresh legs for Scotland! Kenny McLean comes on to replace John McGinn.
- 68' Brilliant from the forward! Niclas Fullkrug makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 68.
- 73' Germany are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Scotland backline.
- 74' A change in the Germany ranks — Jamal Musiala exits the field as Thomas Muller enters on 74.
- 77' The crowd applauds Kieran Tierney as he leaves the pitch. Scott McKenna steps in for Scotland.
- 80' Germany make a change. Toni Kroos trudges off to be replaced by Emre Can on 80 minutes.
- 82' Time for substitution for Scotland. Ryan Christie is replaced by Lawrence Shankland.
- 87' GOAL! Antonio Rudiger fires home to make it 5-0!
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Germany to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 21
- 1
- 6
- 4
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Niclas Fullkrug 63'
- 18
-
23
Robert Andrich ↓ Pascal Gross 46'
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Emre Can 80'
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↓ Leroy Sane 63'
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 74'
Bench
-
5
Pascal Gross ↑ 46'
-
19
Leroy Sane ↑ 63'
- 20
-
13
Thomas Muller ↑ 74'
-
9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 63'
- 16
- 12
- 24
- 11
- 3
- 22
-
25
Emre Can ↑ 80'
- 15
- 14
- 26
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
Scotland Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3
- 1
- 4
-
10
Che Adams ↓ Grant Hanley 46'
-
7
John McGinn ↓ Kenny McLean 67'
-
6
Kieran Tierney ↓ Scott McKenna 77'
-
8
Callum McGregor ↓ Billy Gilmour 67'
- 13
- 2
- 11
- 15
Bench
- 17
-
5
Grant Hanley ↑ 46'
-
23
Kenny McLean ↑ 67'
- 16
- 25
- 18
-
26
Scott McKenna ↑ 77'
- 21
- 24
- 12
- 20
- 22
-
9
Lawrence Shankland ↑ 82'
-
14
Billy Gilmour ↑ 67'
- 19
Coach
Steve Clarke
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kai Havertz | 1 |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 1 |
| Emre Can | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 |
Head to Head
Germany Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Scotland xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Germany to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Germany win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Germany or Draw
85%
Draw or Scotland
35%
Germany or Scotland
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Germany win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Germany
| Handicap | Germany covers | Push | Scotland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Scotland keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.