Thursday , 2 July 2026

Germany vs Scotland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

5 1
Full Time
Fri 14 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena 65,052 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Wirtz 10' 1–0
Jamal Musiala 19' 2–0
Kai Havertz pen 45+1' 3–0
Niclas Fullkrug 68' 4–0
4–1 87' Antonio Rudiger og
Emre Can 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Germany vs ScotlandEuropean Championship at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
Germany 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Scotland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jun Scotland H 5–1 W
01 Dec Costa Rica A 4–2 W
27 Nov Spain A 1–1 D
23 Nov Japan H 1–2 L
29 Jun England A 0–2 L
23 Jun Hungary H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jun Germany A 1–5 L
22 Jun Croatia A 1–3 L
18 Jun England A 0–0 D
14 Jun Czechia H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Germany this season
0% Clean Sheets
Scotland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Germany
0-15
1/
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Scotland
0-15
1/1
16-30
/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Scotland
Scott McTominay 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Scotland kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Germany is taking the lead after the goal scored by Florian Wirtz on 10.
  • 15' It’s high time Julian Nagelsmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' GOAL! Jamal Musiala scores on 19. Assisted by Kai Havertz
  • 24' Scotland started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Germany winning 100% of all matches.
  • 31' The referee shows Germany player a card on 31.
  • 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Toni Kroos made 545 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' Scotland receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 46' What a strike from Kai Havertz! The score is 3-0.
  • 46' The whistle greets Robert Andrich as he departs to be replaced by Pascal Gross.
  • 48' Scotland receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jonathan Tah suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Germany looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Kai Havertz scoring 1 goals.
  • 62' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Tah.
  • 63' The Germany manager makes a substitution. Kai Havertz departs to be replaced by Niclas Fullkrug.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Scotland team. John McGinn is replaced by Kenny McLean on 67 minute.
  • 68' Goal! Niclas Fullkrug scores his 61 goal in 291 matches.
  • 73' Andrew Robertson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 54 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 74' Another change for Germany made on 74 minute. Jamal Musiala leaves to be changed by Thomas Muller.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Scotland team. Kieran Tierney is replaced by Scott McKenna on 77 minute.
  • 80' Emre Can is replacing Toni Kroos for the Germany side.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Scotland team. Ryan Christie is replaced by Lawrence Shankland on 82 minute.
  • 87' GOAL! Antonio Rudiger scores on 87. Assisted by Scott McKenna
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Germany players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Scotland xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Germany to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Germany65% Draw19% Scotland16%
Actual: Germany win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Germany or Draw
85%
Draw or Scotland
35%
Germany or Scotland
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Germany51% Draw36% Scotland13%
Actual: Germany win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Germany

Handicap Germany covers Push Scotland covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 20% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Germany keeps clean sheet
34%
Scotland keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.