Spain vs Germany, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Spain vs Germany — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
9 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spain are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Germany backline.
- 8' Fresh legs for Spain! Dani Olmo comes on to replace Pedri.
- 13' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Antonio Rudiger on 13 minutes.
- 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 23' Spain have won 64 goals from 126 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 28' That is a card for Germany. David Raum will be fuming at that decision.
- 29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robin Le Normand on 29 minutes.
- 34' Germany come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' Kai Havertz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 44' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 46' Spain manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nacho is hanging Robin Le Normand on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Dani Olmo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Spain are in front.
- 56' Robert Andrich was booked on 56.
- 57' The Germany bench stirs into life. David Raum is withdrawn and Maximilian Mittelstadt gets his opportunity.
- 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 63' Fresh legs for Spain! Ferran Torres comes on to replace Lamine Yamal.
- 67' The referee calls foul for Toni Kroos. He receives a card.
- 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 73' It’s gonna be a card for Maximilian Mittelstadt.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Ferran Torres.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Spain and Germany are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 80' Time for substitution for Spain. Nico Williams is replaced by Mikel Merino.
- 82' A moment of madness from Unai Simon on 82 minutes earns him a card. Spain will be frustrated.
- 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 89' Florian Wirtz makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Germany are in front.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Nico Schlotterbeck. He receives a card.
- Spain celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Spain Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
- 14
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 24
-
8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Joselu 102'
-
3
Robin Le Normand ↓ Nacho 46'
- 20
-
17
Nico Williams ↓ Mikel Merino 80'
-
19
Lamine Yamal ↓ Ferran Torres 63'
Bench
- 26
-
9
Joselu ↑ 102'
- 1
-
11
Ferran Torres ↑ 63'
-
6
Mikel Merino ↑ 80'
- 22
- 13
- 5
-
4
Nacho ↑ 46'
-
10
Dani Olmo ↑ 8'
- 12
- 18
-
21
Mikel Oyarzabal ↑ 80'
- 15
- 25
Coach
Luis de la Fuente
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 21
-
19
Leroy Sane ↓ Florian Wirtz 46'
- 1
- 6
-
4
Jonathan Tah ↓ Thomas Muller 80'
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Waldemar Anton 91'
- 3
- 8
-
25
Emre Can ↓ Robert Andrich 46'
- 10
Bench
- 5
- 20
-
13
Thomas Muller ↑ 80'
-
9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 57'
-
16
Waldemar Anton ↑ 91'
- 12
-
18
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 57'
- 24
- 11
-
23
Robert Andrich ↑ 46'
- 22
- 15
- 14
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Antonio Rudiger | 1 |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
| Mikel Merino | 1 |
| Dani Olmo | 1 |
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
78%
Draw or Germany
47%
Spain or Germany
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.