Croatia vs Spain, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Croatia vs Spain — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Bjorn Kuipers
- Referee Sander van Roekel
- Referee Erwin Zeinstra
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Richard Liesveld
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Croatia and Spain.
- 5' Croatia international Marko Rog has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 7' Against the run of play, Alvaro Morata has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 12' It looks like no one’s ball. Croatia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 17' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Croatia and Spain are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spain that had 126 games and scored 64 goals.
- 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' It’s a booking for Croatia player. Marko Rog gets a Yellow card.
- 34' Croatia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
- 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' GOAL! Nikola Kalinic fires home to make it 1-1!
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sergio Ramos made 545 appearances and scored 35 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Croatia and Spain are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' Time for substitution for Spain. Nolito is replaced by Bruno.
- 65' Juanfran, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 67' Fresh legs for Spain! Aduriz comes on to replace Alvaro Morata.
- 70' Darijo Srna was booked on 70.
- 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Darijo Srna, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 82' It is a substitution in Croatia team. Marko Rog is replaced by Mateo Kovacic on 82 minute.
- 84' Fresh legs for Spain! Thiago Alcantara comes on to replace Fabregas.
- 87' A stunning finish from Ivan Perisic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 88' Ivan Perisic was booked on 88.
- 90' The Croatia bench stirs into life. Marko Pjaca is withdrawn and Duje Cop gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for Croatia.
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 6
- 16
- 7
- 11
-
15
Marko Rog ↓ Mateo Kovacic 82'
- 2
-
4
Ivan Perisic ↓ Andrej Kramaric 90'
-
20
Marko Pjaca ↓ Duje Cop 90'
- 19
- 5
Bench
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 82'
-
9
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 90'
- 10
- 17
- 18
- 3
- 14
-
22
Duje Cop ↑ 90'
- 21
- 12
- 13
- 1
Coach
Ante Cacic
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Fabregas ↓ Thiago Alcantara 84'
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Aduriz 67'
- 21
- 13
- 16
- 22
- 3
- 18
- 5
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 12
- 2
- 11
- 23
-
14
Thiago Alcantara ↑ 84'
- 8
- 17
-
20
Aduriz ↑ 67'
- 4
- 9
-
19
Bruno ↑ 60'
- 1
Coach
Del Bosque
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 3 |
| Pablo Sarabia | 1 |
| Nikola Kalinic | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Unai Simon | 1 |
Head to Head
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
79%
Draw or Spain
46%
Croatia or Spain
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.