Croatia vs Spain, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Croatia vs Spain — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Bjorn Kuipers
- Referee Sander van Roekel
- Referee Erwin Zeinstra
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Viktor Kassai
- Referee Richard Liesveld
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Spain this season
Spain this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Croatia
| Andrej Kramaric | 1 G |
Spain
| Dani Olmo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Williams | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 G | |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Croatia and Spain get this one started.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Croatia and Spain are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 7' Spain is taking the lead after the goal scored by Alvaro Morata on 7.
- 12' Spain looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Fabian Ruiz scoring 1 goals.
- 17' Spain come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 22' It looks like no one’s ball. Croatia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' The referee calls foul for Marko Rog. He receives a Yellow card.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ante Cacic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Spain winning 100% of all matches.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nikola Kalinic makes it 1-1.
- 50' Nolito needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabregas suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' Spain manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno is hanging Nolito on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' David De Gea has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 67' A tactical swap from Spain — Aduriz on, Alvaro Morata off on 67 minutes.
- 70' A moment of madness from Darijo Srna on 70 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Croatia will be frustrated.
- 75' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danijel Subasic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Croatia.
- 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Croatia and Spain are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 82' Another substitution for Croatia to replace Marko Rog by Mateo Kovacic on 82 minute.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Thiago Alcantara. He replaces Fabregas on 84 minute.
- 87' Goal! Ivan Perisic scores his 65 goal in 485 matches.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ivan Perisic on 88.
- 90' The crowd applauds Marko Pjaca as he leaves the pitch. Duje Cop steps in for Croatia.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 6
- 16
- 7
- 11
-
15
Marko Rog ↓ Mateo Kovacic 82'
- 2
-
4
Ivan Perisic ↓ Andrej Kramaric 90'
-
20
Marko Pjaca ↓ Duje Cop 90'
- 19
- 5
Bench
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 82'
-
9
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 90'
- 10
- 17
- 18
- 3
- 14
-
22
Duje Cop ↑ 90'
- 21
- 12
- 13
- 1
Coach
Ante Cacic
Spain Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Fabregas ↓ Thiago Alcantara 84'
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Aduriz 67'
- 21
- 13
- 16
- 22
- 3
- 18
- 5
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 12
- 2
- 11
- 23
-
14
Thiago Alcantara ↑ 84'
- 8
- 17
-
20
Aduriz ↑ 67'
- 4
- 9
-
19
Bruno ↑ 60'
- 1
Coach
Del Bosque
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 3 |
| Pablo Sarabia | 1 |
| Nikola Kalinic | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Unai Simon | 1 |
Head to Head
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
79%
Draw or Spain
46%
Croatia or Spain
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.