Croatia vs Spain, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Spain Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | 3 |
| Pablo Sarabia | 1 |
| Nikola Kalinic | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Unai Simon | 1 |
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Croatia or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Spain win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
70%
Draw or Spain
60%
Croatia or Spain
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.