Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka!
- 2' Min-tae Kim picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 6' Ryo Germain doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 11' Shuto Nakano, a Japan , has 8 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 16' Japan international Akito Suzuki has been a key figure this campaign — 5 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Mutsuki Kato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 26' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 444 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Masaki Ikeda has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Luiz Phellype. He replaces Ryo Nemoto on 62 minute.
- 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Naoki Maeda. He replaces Sota Nakamura on 75 minute.
- 80' The whistle greets Akimi Barada as he departs to be replaced by Naoya Takahashi.
- 85' The crowd applauds Shunki Higashi as he leaves the pitch. Naoto Arai steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 86' Masaki Ikeda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Akito Suzuki at the 86 minute mark.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Satoshi Tanaka trudges off to be replaced by Hiroya Matsumoto on 90 minutes.
- With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Sere Matsumura 80'
- 37
- 99
-
14
Akimi Barada ↓ Naoya Takahashi 80'
- 50
- 3
-
16
Ryo Nemoto ↓ Luiz Phellype 62'
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Masaki Ikeda 86'
- 5
- 47
- 19
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 62'
- 31
- 15
- 9
- 4
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↑ 86'
-
32
Sere Matsumura ↑ 80'
-
33
Naoya Takahashi ↑ 80'
- 77
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Naoto Arai 85'
- 33
- 4
- 14
- 15
- 51
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Naoki Maeda 75'
Bench
- 18
- 3
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 75'
- 20
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 85'
- 32
- 21
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patric | 3 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Satoshi Tanaka | 2 |
| Masaki Ikeda | 1 |
| Ryogo Yamasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.89
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
66%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Shonan Bellmare or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
3%
0 – 3
2.1%
1 – 3
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 20% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 21% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

