Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 27 Feb 2021 · 06:00 UTC Shonan BMW Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+7'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Shonan BMW Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Hirama
  • Referee Takuto Okabe
  • Referee Atsushi Kamimura
  • Referee Masahiro Horikoshi
  • Referee Hiroyoshi Takayama

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Sagan Tosu FC H 0–1 L
19 Dec Vegalta Sendai A 0–0 D
16 Dec Ōita FC Trinita H 1–2 L
12 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
06 Dec Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
29 Nov Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
19 Dec Ōita FC Trinita H 2–2 D
16 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
12 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
05 Dec Yokohama FC A 1–1 D
29 Nov Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Shonan Bellmare host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 5.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Naoki Yamada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Shonan Bellmare in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shonan Bellmare side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Eduardo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' Shonan Bellmare are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 62' Controversy at the stadium! Shun Nakamura argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 63' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Keita Yamashita departs to be replaced by Kaisei Ishii.
  • 68' Hirokazu Ishihara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 73' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuya Okamoto made 418 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Daichi Hayashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' Naoki Yamada makes way for Akimi Barada at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Tashiro. He replaces Noriyoshi Sakai on 82 minute.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 89' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Keiya Sento exits the field as Toshio Shimakawa enters on 89.
  • 90' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 90 minute. Sohsuke Shibata leaves to be changed by Sho Hiramatsu.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare31% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC39%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
61%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare22% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.