Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Shonan BMW Stadium.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Hirama
- Referee Takuto Okabe
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
- Referee Masahiro Horikoshi
- Referee Hiroyoshi Takayama
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Dec | Vegalta Sendai | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Dec | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Dec | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Dec | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Dec | Yokohama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Shonan Bellmare host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 5.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Naoki Yamada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Shonan Bellmare in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shonan Bellmare side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' Poor challenge from Eduardo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' Shonan Bellmare are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' Controversy at the stadium! Shun Nakamura argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 63' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Keita Yamashita departs to be replaced by Kaisei Ishii.
- 68' Hirokazu Ishihara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 73' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Takuya Okamoto made 418 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 80' Against the run of play, Daichi Hayashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 81' Naoki Yamada makes way for Akimi Barada at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Tashiro. He replaces Noriyoshi Sakai on 82 minute.
- 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 89' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Keiya Sento exits the field as Toshio Shimakawa enters on 89.
- 90' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 90 minute. Sohsuke Shibata leaves to be changed by Sho Hiramatsu.
- Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
13
Naoki Ishihara ↓ Ryo Nemoto 81'
- 1
-
10
Naoki Yamada ↓ Koki Tachi 81'
- 6
- 3
-
42
Ryo Takahashi ↓ Shota Kobayashi 81'
-
30
Sohsuke Shibata ↓ Sho Hiramatsu 90'
- 17
-
32
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Ryo Nemoto 81'
- 25
Bench
-
5
Shota Kobayashi ↑ 81'
- 23
-
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 81'
-
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 81'
- 29
-
37
Ryo Nemoto ↑ 81'
-
18
Sho Hiramatsu ↑ 90'
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 41
- 20
- 10
- 40
- 8
-
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 89'
- 47
- 15
- 24
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↓ Kaisei Ishii 63'
Bench
- 50
-
19
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 63'
-
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 89'
- 1
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 89'
- 27
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 82'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
61%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

