Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Sun 25 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+2' · FT 45+6'

Daiki Miya 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Referee Takeshi Suhara
Referee Yosuke Takabe
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-04-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Shonan Bellmare 2018-10-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D
21 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–0	D
18 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
14 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L
10 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
21 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–0	D
18 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–2	W
14 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
10 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–2	L
04 Oct	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare.
5' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
10' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
20' The Japan Akimi Barada breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 0-1!
25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
30' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Yohei Toyoda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
33' Assisted by Daiki Matsuoka with the perfectly-timed delivery and Cho Donggeon makes no mistake. 1-1!
34' What composure from Cho Donggeon! The Korea Republic international strokes it home. 2-1.
39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
44' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hiroshi Ibusuki makes it 2-2.
46' Ryang Yong Gi makes way for Ryoya Morishita at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
51' Hirokazu Ishihara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
56' The 24-year-old Satoshi Tanaka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
57' The crowd applauds Takeshi Kanamori as he leaves the pitch. Daichi Hayashi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
58' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Cho Donggeon trudges off to be replaced by Yuta Higuchi on 58 minutes.
61' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Tarik Elyounoussi is withdrawn and Hiroto Nakagawa gets his opportunity.
62' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 62 minute. Akimi Barada leaves to be changed by Temma Matsuda.
63' Kaisei Ishii is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fuchi Honda at the 63 minute mark.
65' A moment of madness from Daiki Miya on 65 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
70' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yohei Toyoda is hanging Daiki Matsuoka on the field on 70 minute.
75' Goal! Daichi Hayashi scores his 36 goal in 279 matches.
80' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
82' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoki Yamada is hanging Mitsuki Saito on the field on 82 minute.
87' It looks like no one’s ball. Shonan Bellmare is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
89' Shota Kobayashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Satoshi Tanaka at the 89 minute mark.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 2-2 Shonan Bellmare. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

3
Eduardo
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 63'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 70'
30
Yuta Higuchi ↑ 58'
21
Kim Minho
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 57'
28
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

25
Kosei Tani
6
Takuya Okamoto C
38
Hirokazu Ishihara
2
Daiki Kaneko
16
Mitsuki Saito ↓ Naoki Yamada 82'
11
Tarik Elyounoussi ↓ Hiroto Nakagawa 61'
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki
32
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Shota Kobayashi 89'
19
Koki Tachi
23
Akimi Barada ↓ Temma Matsuda 62'
26
Taiga Hata

Bench

5
Shota Kobayashi ↑ 89'
10
Naoki Yamada ↑ 82'
14
Hiroto Nakagawa ↑ 61'
18
Temma Matsuda ↑ 62'
21
Masaaki Goto
20
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Riuler

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shuto Machino	4
Yuki Ohashi	4
Yuji Ono	4
Yuta Fujihara	2
Isaac Cuenca	2
Cho Donggeon	2
Daichi Hayashi	2
Sho Fukuda	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers L 2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-18 Shonan Bellmare 3–2 Kashiwa Reysol W 2020-10-14 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2020-10-10 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2020-10-04 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.27 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC37% Draw29% Shonan Bellmare34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

63%

Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw48% Shonan Bellmare26%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

3.3%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	19%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	19%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.