Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Sun 25 Oct 2020 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+2' · FT 45+6'

Daiki Miya 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Referee Takeshi Suhara
Referee Yosuke Takabe
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-04-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Shonan Bellmare 2018-10-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D
21 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–0	D
18 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
14 Oct	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L
10 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
07 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
21 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–0	D
18 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–2	W
14 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
10 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–2	L
04 Oct	FC Tokyo	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
20' What a strike from Akimi Barada! The score is 0-1.
25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
30' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
33' Cho Donggeon doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
34' What a strike from Cho Donggeon! The score is 2-1.
39' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
44' Kosei Tani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hiroshi Ibusuki makes it 2-2.
46' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Ryang Yong Gi trudges off to be replaced by Ryoya Morishita on 46 minutes.
51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
56' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
57' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Daichi Hayashi comes on to replace Takeshi Kanamori.
58' The supporters are chanting for Yuta Higuchi. He replaces Cho Donggeon on 58 minute.
61' Hiroto Nakagawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tarik Elyounoussi on 61 minute.
62' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Akimi Barada by Temma Matsuda on 62 minute.
63' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 63 minute. Fuchi Honda leaves to be changed by Kaisei Ishii.
65' A moment of madness from Daiki Miya on 65 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
70' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Daiki Matsuoka is withdrawn and Yohei Toyoda gets his opportunity.
75' Daichi Hayashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
80' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
82' Mitsuki Saito makes way for Naoki Yamada at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
89' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shota Kobayashi is hanging Satoshi Tanaka on the field on 89 minute.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 2-2 Shonan Bellmare.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

3
Eduardo
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 63'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 70'
30
Yuta Higuchi ↑ 58'
21
Kim Minho
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 57'
28
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

25
Kosei Tani
6
Takuya Okamoto C
38
Hirokazu Ishihara
2
Daiki Kaneko
16
Mitsuki Saito ↓ Naoki Yamada 82'
11
Tarik Elyounoussi ↓ Hiroto Nakagawa 61'
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki
32
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Shota Kobayashi 89'
19
Koki Tachi
23
Akimi Barada ↓ Temma Matsuda 62'
26
Taiga Hata

Bench

5
Shota Kobayashi ↑ 89'
10
Naoki Yamada ↑ 82'
14
Hiroto Nakagawa ↑ 61'
18
Temma Matsuda ↑ 62'
21
Masaaki Goto
20
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Riuler

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shuto Machino	4
Yuki Ohashi	4
Yuji Ono	4
Yuta Fujihara	2
Isaac Cuenca	2
Cho Donggeon	2
Daichi Hayashi	2
Sho Fukuda	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers L 2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2020-10-21 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-10-18 Shonan Bellmare 3–2 Kashiwa Reysol W 2020-10-14 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2020-10-10 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2020-10-04 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 FC Tokyo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.27 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC37% Draw29% Shonan Bellmare34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

63%

Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw48% Shonan Bellmare26%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

3.3%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	19%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	19%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.