Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 19 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 52' Ryuya Nishio

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
05 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
28 Jun Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–1 D
14 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
01 Jun Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 May Albirex Niigata A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 3–3 D
05 Jul Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
21 Jun Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
14 Jun FC Tokyo A 2–2 D
01 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–2 W
28 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Shonan Bellmare to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 6' What composure from Lucas Fernandes! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 14' What an equalizer from Akito Suzuki!
  • 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' Motohiko Nakajima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Shonan Bellmare in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
  • 34' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 42' Brilliant from the ! Taiyo Hiraoka makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 42.
  • 47' Against the run of play, Rafael Ratao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 52' A moment of madness from Ryuya Nishio on 52 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
  • 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 62' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Kohei Okuno as he leaves the pitch. Hiroya Matsumoto steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCTakumi Nakamura on, Dion Cools off on 71 minutes.
  • 73' Thiago Andrade is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
  • 75' Akito Suzuki makes way for Luiz Phellype at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Shonan Bellmare! Sena Ishibashi comes on to replace Shusuke Ota.
  • 82' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 82 minute. Rafael Ratao leaves to be changed by Motohiko Nakajima.
  • 87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Satoshi Yamaguchi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luiz Phellype makes it 3-3.
  • 90' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Shinji Kagawa trudges off to be replaced by Masaya Shibayama on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare39% Draw27% Cerezo Osaka FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
61%
Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare29% Draw44% Cerezo Osaka FC27%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
24%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.