Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jun | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–2 | W |
| 28 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Shonan Bellmare to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 6' What composure from Lucas Fernandes! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 14' What an equalizer from Akito Suzuki!
- 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 24' Motohiko Nakajima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Shonan Bellmare in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 34' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 42' Brilliant from the ! Taiyo Hiraoka makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 42.
- 47' Against the run of play, Rafael Ratao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 52' A moment of madness from Ryuya Nishio on 52 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
- 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 62' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 67' The crowd applauds Kohei Okuno as he leaves the pitch. Hiroya Matsumoto steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
- 71' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Takumi Nakamura on, Dion Cools off on 71 minutes.
- 73' Thiago Andrade is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 75' Akito Suzuki makes way for Luiz Phellype at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
- 79' Fresh legs for Shonan Bellmare! Sena Ishibashi comes on to replace Shusuke Ota.
- 82' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 82 minute. Rafael Ratao leaves to be changed by Motohiko Nakajima.
- 87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Satoshi Yamaguchi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luiz Phellype makes it 3-3.
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Shinji Kagawa trudges off to be replaced by Masaya Shibayama on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 37
- 8
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 67'
- 50
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Yutaro Oda 75'
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Luiz Phellype 75'
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Sena Ishibashi 79'
- 32
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Masaki Ikeda 75'
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 75'
-
66
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 67'
- 31
-
9
Yutaro Oda ↑ 75'
- 4
- 14
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↑ 75'
- 72
-
20
Sena Ishibashi ↑ 79'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Dion Cools ↓ Takumi Nakamura 71'
- 77
- 8
- 44
- 9
- 10
- 5
- 33
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 82'
- 16
- 1
Bench
- 35
-
2
Takumi Nakamura ↑ 71'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 82'
- 55
- 21
- 17
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 82'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Akito Suzuki | 5 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 3 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Shota Kobayashi | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Souza | 1 |
| Adam Taggart | 1 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
61%
Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

