Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting Albirex Niigata for another epic battle.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Daiki Suga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Albirex Niigata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sho Sasaki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
- 55' Soya Fujiwara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 60' Michael Fitzgerald makes way for Jason Geria at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 64' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Shion Inoue is withdrawn and Naoki Maeda gets his opportunity.
- 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 73' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 73 minute. Yuji Ono leaves to be changed by Motoki Hasegawa.
- 74' Sota Koshimichi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mutsuki Kato on 74 minute.
- 76' The whistle greets Daiki Suga as he departs to be replaced by Shunki Higashi.
- 81' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Miguel Silveira is hanging Keisuke Kasai on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Yusuke Chajima comes on to replace Ryo Germain.
- 85' The Brazil Miguel Silveira breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 0-1!
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Miguel Silveira.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Albirex Niigata take all three points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Yusuke Chajima 84'
- 19
-
18
Daiki Suga ↓ Shunki Higashi 76'
- 1
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 84'
- 33
-
20
Shion Inoue ↓ Naoki Maeda 64'
- 4
- 14
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Sota Koshimichi 74'
- 39
Bench
- 3
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 84'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 76'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 64'
-
25
Yusuke Chajima ↑ 84'
- 44
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 74'
- 27
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Motoki Hasegawa 73'
- 19
- 42
- 25
- 16
- 3
- 23
- 30
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Miguel Silveira 81'
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Hiroki Akiyama 81'
Bench
-
20
Miguel Silveira ↑ 81'
-
2
Jason Geria ↑ 60'
-
11
Danilo ↑ 73'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↑ 81'
- 31
- 15
- 33
-
41
Motoki Hasegawa ↑ 73'
- 1
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Miguel Silveira | 1 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Tsukasa Shiotani | 1 |
| Shunsuke Mito | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2025-04-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Albirex Niigata win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
61%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
71%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Albirex Niigata
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.