Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 1 Jul 2023 · 09:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium 19,064 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shunsuke Mito 25' 1–0
Naoto Arai 28' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Assistant 1 Mitsuharu Taketa

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–0 W
24 Jun Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
11 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–3 L
03 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 2–2 D
28 May Gamba Osaka H 1–3 L
20 May Sagan Tosu FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Albirex Niigata A 0–2 L
24 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–1 L
11 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
04 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–1 W
31 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
27 May Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata52% Draw27% Sanfrecce Hiroshima21%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
79%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata35% Draw48% Sanfrecce Hiroshima17%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.