Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Wed 2 Apr 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
29 Mar Gamba Osaka H 3–3 D
15 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
29 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
15 Mar FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
09 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–0 W
26 Feb Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Albirex Niigata gets underway.
  • 5' Nassim Ben Khalifa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Hiroki Akino, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Avispa Fukuoka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' The 27-year-old Motoki Hasegawa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Avispa Fukuoka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Michael Fitzgerald, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Hiroki Akiyama has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 110 appearances.
  • 45' Avispa Fukuoka have won 210 goals from 200 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Nassim Ben Khalifa as he leaves the pitch. Shahab Zahedi Tabar steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 60' Assisted by Shahab Zahedi Tabar with the perfectly-timed delivery and Masaya Tashiro makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 62' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Jin Okumura is replaced by Danilo.
  • 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Kazuya Konno. He replaces Shintaro Nago on 71 minute.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuji Kitajima.
  • 78' Eiji Miyamoto gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Motoki Hasegawa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Kazuki Fujimoto has done his job and it is now time for Yuto Iwasaki to step up.
  • Another three points for Avispa Fukuoka.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata33% Draw30% Avispa Fukuoka37%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
67%
Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata24% Draw50% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
31%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.