Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Wed 2 Apr 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
29 Mar Gamba Osaka H 3–3 D
15 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
29 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
15 Mar FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
09 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–0 W
26 Feb Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Albirex Niigata and Avispa Fukuoka has kicked off!
  • 5' It’s high time Daisuke Kimori made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Yuji Hoshi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Fitzgerald made 439 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jason Geria, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Shintaro Nago has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 58' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shahab Zahedi Tabar is hanging Nassim Ben Khalifa on the field on 58 minute.
  • 60' What a strike from Masaya Tashiro! The score is 0-1.
  • 62' Danilo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jin Okumura on 62 minute.
  • 67' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Shintaro Nago is replaced by Kazuya Konno.
  • 76' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Yuji Kitajima.
  • 78' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Motoki Hasegawa departs to be replaced by Eiji Miyamoto.
  • 83' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Kazuki Fujimoto is replaced by Yuto Iwasaki on 86 minute.
  • Full Time. Avispa Fukuoka beats Albirex Niigata

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata33% Draw30% Avispa Fukuoka37%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
67%
Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata24% Draw50% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
31%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.