Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Vissel Kobe

4 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 05:00 UTC NOEVIR Stadium Kobe 17,781 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuya Osako 3' 1–0

Gotoku Sakai 47' 2–0

Yoshinori Muto 66' 3–0

Gotoku Sakai 73' 4–0

Y 13' Yusei Egawa

Leo Osaki 14' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe.

Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Masuya Ueda
Assistant 1 Haruhiro Otsuka
Assistant 2

11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Vissel Kobe 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-04 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Gamba Osaka 2022-09-18 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2022-05-08 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Vissel Kobe 2021-07-21 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Vissel Kobe 2021-02-27 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Gamba Osaka	H	4–0	W
25 Feb	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	3–1	W
18 Feb	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
05 Nov	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
29 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–2	L
12 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–0	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
08 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Vissel Kobe		Gamba Osaka
#1	Position	#5
35	Points	28
18	Played	18
11 / 0 / 7	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	61
37	Conceded	53
+4	GD	+8
1.94	PPG	1.56
61%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Vissel Kobe are 1st (35 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

3/4

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Vissel Kobe welcome Gamba Osaka for this crunch clash at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe.
3' A stunning finish from Yuya Osako — that came from absolutely nowhere!
8' Rihito Yamamoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
13' Yusei Egawa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 13.
14' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Leo Osaki on 14 minutes.
19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
24' Another change for Vissel Kobe made on 24 minute. Ryuho Kikuchi leaves to be changed by Yuki Honda.
29' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Leo Osaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
44' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
47' What composure from Gotoku Sakai! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
52' Gamba Osaka looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harumi Minamino scoring 2 goals.
57' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 57 minute. Yuki Yamamoto leaves to be changed by Ryotaro Meshino.
58' Musashi Suzuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Yamami on 58 minute.
63' It looks like no one’s ball. Vissel Kobe is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
66' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yoshinori Muto makes no mistake. 3-0!
71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
73' Magnificent from Gotoku Sakai! That is 11 goals in 268 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
74' Another change for Vissel Kobe made on 74 minute. Yoshinori Muto leaves to be changed by Toya Izumi.
79' Vissel Kobe is showing some good football. However, Vissel Kobe are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
80' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Riku Handa comes on to replace Issam Jebali.
85' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
88' Stefan Mugosa gets the nod from Vissel Kobe. He replaces Yuya Osako and will look to change the dynamic.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Vissel Kobe players.

Lineups

Vissel Kobe Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

22
Daiju Sasaki
40
Phelipe Megiolaro
26
Jean Patric ↑ 74'
2
Nanasei Iino
15
Yuki Honda ↑ 24'
30
Stefan Mugosa ↑ 88'
27
Toya Izumi ↑ 74'

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 58'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 57'
6
Rihito Yamamoto ↑ 74'
16
Yota Sato
3
Riku Handa ↑ 80'
23
Dawhan ↑ 74'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Osako	6
Shu Kurata	4
Junya Tanaka	4
Patric	3
Hwang Uijo	2
Kanji Okunuki	2
Takashi Usami	2
Harumi Minamino	2

Head to Head

Vissel Kobe Form

2023-03-04 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-02-25 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–3 Vissel Kobe W 2023-02-18 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2022-11-05 Vissel Kobe 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2022-10-29 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Vissel Kobe L 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare W

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-03-04 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Jubilo Iwata W 2022-10-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Gamba Osaka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.77 Vissel Kobe xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe56% Draw20% Gamba Osaka24%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	68%	32%
± 4.5	50%	50%

Double Chance

Vissel Kobe or Draw

75%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

44%

Vissel Kobe or Gamba Osaka

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe43% Draw34% Gamba Osaka23%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted

4 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

6.3%

3 – 1

3 – 2

5.7%

1 – 1

5.6%

1 – 2

4.7%

4 – 1

4.1%

2 – 3

4 – 2

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.7%

3 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Vissel Kobe

Handicap	Vissel Kobe covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	16%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	18%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	13%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.