Sunday , 16 August 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 23 Oct 2021 · 08:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
16 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–1 D
02 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–5 L
26 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 2–1 W
18 Sep Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
12 Sep Vegalta Sendai H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
18 Sep Oita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Panasonic Stadium Suita. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The 25-year-old Ayumu Ohata has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' A stunning finish from Takashi Usami — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 15' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Japan international Tomoya Koyamatsu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yuya Fukuda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Noriyoshi Sakai enters on 46.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Ryohei Shirasaki is replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu on 56 minute.
  • 61' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 66' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 67' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Shu Kurata departs to be replaced by Kosuke Onose.
  • 72' Hwang Seokho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 75' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Kim Younggwon departs to be replaced by Yota Sato.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Shinya Nakano is replaced by Ayumu Ohata on 79 minute.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Kohei Okuno comes on to replace Yuki Yamamoto.
  • 85' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' A quiet spell here at Panasonic Stadium Suita. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka52% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
79%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
48%
Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka33% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC18%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
40%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.