Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Gamba Osaka

1 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 23 Oct 2021 · 08:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2020-11-29 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka 2019-09-14 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
16 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
02 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–5	L
26 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W
18 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	1–3	L
12 Sep	Vegalta Sendai	H	2–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	0–1	L
16 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
03 Oct	Tokushima Vortis	A	0–3	L
25 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–3	L
18 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	H	0–0	D
11 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Gamba Osaka host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
5' It’s high time Masanobu Matsunami made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' A goal from the Japan international Takashi Usami! He fires home on 10 to make it 1-0!
15' A quiet spell here at Panasonic Stadium Suita. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
30' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
45' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai on 46 minute.
51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kim Younggwon suffering a number of foals already.
56' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Ryohei Shirasaki has done his job and it is now time for Tomoya Koyamatsu to step up.
61' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
67' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Shu Kurata exits the field as Kosuke Onose enters on 67.
72' Yuki Yamamoto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 403 appearances.
75' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Yota Sato on, Kim Younggwon off on 75 minutes.
79' The supporters are chanting for Ayumu Ohata. He replaces Shinya Nakano on 79 minute.
80' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Yuki Yamamoto exits the field as Kohei Okuno enters on 80.
85' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yosuke Ideguchi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
Gamba Osaka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

28
Wellington Silva ↑ 67'
8
Kosuke Onose ↑ 67'
33
Haruto Shirai
17
Kohei Okuno ↑ 80'
16
Yota Sato ↑ 75'
26
Ko Yanagisawa ↑ 80'
31
Taichi Kato

Coach Masanobu Matsunami

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yoshihiro Nakano
3
Eduardo
20
Hwang Seokho
13
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 56'
10
Yuta Higuchi
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 46'
40
Park Ilkyu
4
Toshio Shimakawa
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Keita Yamashita 67'
47
Shinya Nakano ↓ Ayumu Ohata 79'
24
Nanasei Iino ↓ Kei Koizumi 46'

Bench

37
Kei Koizumi ↑ 46'
1
Tatsuya Morita
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 79'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 56'
27
Ryunosuke Sagara
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 46'
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 67'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Fernando Torres	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2021-10-16 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2021-10-02 Gamba Osaka 1–5 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2021-09-26 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2021-09-18 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Gamba Osaka L 2021-09-12 Gamba Osaka 2–3 Vegalta Sendai L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-03 Tokushima Vortis 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Oita FC Trinita D 2021-09-11 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka52% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC21%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.39

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

79%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

48%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka33% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC18%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

11.3%

2 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

8.8%

0 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.5%

3 – 1

4.3%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	24%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.