Saturday , 14 November 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 23 Oct 2021 · 08:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
16 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–1 D
02 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–5 L
26 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 2–1 W
18 Sep Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
12 Sep Vegalta Sendai H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
18 Sep Ōita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Panasonic Stadium Suita that hosts another battle between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' What a strike from Takashi Usami! The score is 1-0.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' The whistle greets Ryohei Shirasaki as he departs to be replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu.
  • 61' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 67' The whistle greets Shu Kurata as he departs to be replaced by Kosuke Onose.
  • 72' Ayumu Ohata has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Kim Younggwon is replaced by Yota Sato on 75 minute.
  • 79' Ayumu Ohata gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Shinya Nakano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 80 minute. Yuki Yamamoto leaves to be changed by Kohei Okuno.
  • 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Gamba Osaka take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka52% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
79%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
48%
Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka33% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC18%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.