Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium 32,181 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 12' Ryotaro Ito
Diego Oliveira 34' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Albirex NiigataJ. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
  • Assistant 2 Hideaki Nishio
8 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

4
2
FC Tōkyō 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
22 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
15 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–2 L
09 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 2–2 D
01 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FC Tōkyō A 1–2 L
23 Apr Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L
15 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 3–2 W
09 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
01 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 1–3 L
18 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
/1
16-30
/2
31-45
8/
46-60
2/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC Tōkyō have kicked off against Albirex Niigata. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 8' Teruhito Nakagawa does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Tokyo surge ahead!
  • 9' Against the run of play, Teruhito Nakagawa has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ryotaro Ito makes it 0-3.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 32' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Gustavo Nescau has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Goal! Diego Oliveira scores his 87 goal in 437 matches.
  • 39' FC Tōkyō are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Albirex Niigata backline.
  • 44' Albirex Niigata come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 49' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kazuhiko Chiba suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Yuji Hoshi as he leaves the pitch. Gustavo Nescau steps in for Albirex Niigata.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Gustavo Nescau comes on to replace Yuji Hoshi.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yota Komi.
  • 66' Kashif Bangunagande makes way for Shuhei Tokumoto at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
  • 67' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Teruhito Nakagawa is withdrawn and Keigo Higashi gets his opportunity.
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' Yoshiaki Takagi is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 78' Naoto Arai gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Soya Fujiwara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Yuto Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 84' Yuzuru Shimada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takahiro Koh at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' Kazuhiko Chiba is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kei Koizumi on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Yuto Nagatomo on, Hotaka Nakamura off on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tōkyō50% Draw26% Albirex Niigata24%
Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw
76%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
50%
FC Tōkyō or Albirex Niigata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tōkyō33% Draw47% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap FC Tōkyō covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
34%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.