Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kyōto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 23 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC Kyoto Nishikyogoku stage 8,138 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuta Toyokawa 21' 1–0
1–1 22' Yuji Ono
1–2 32' Kazunari Ichimi og
1–3 41' Fuchi Honda
Kosuke Kinoshita pen 90' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Kyōto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kyoto Nishikyogoku stage.

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Assistant 1 Masahiro Horikoshi
  • Assistant 2 Naomi Teshirogi (Japan)
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 2–3 L
15 Apr Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
09 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 1–2 L
01 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
18 Mar Yokohama FC A 4–1 W
12 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
09 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 7 G 4 A
Haruki Arai 4 G
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Kyoto Nishikyogoku stage. Kyōto Sanga FC are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Kyōto Sanga FC in their 4-1-2-3 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 16' So Kawahara picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 21' The Japan Yuta Toyokawa breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 0-1!
  • 22' Yuji Ono does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' What composure from Kazunari Ichimi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 37' It’s high time Kwi-Jea Cho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' What a moment for Fuchi Honda! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' The whistle greets Shimpei Fukuoka as he departs to be replaced by Taiki Hirato.
  • 51' It’s gonna be a Red card for Kazunari Ichimi.
  • 53' The Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes a substitution. Ryogo Yamasaki departs to be replaced by Paulinho.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 63' Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yudai Kimura is hanging Temma Matsuda on the field on 63 minute.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Atsushi Kawata. He replaces Yuji Ono on 67 minute.
  • 70' Daigo Araki gets the nod from Kyoto Sanga FC. He replaces Kyo Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' The whistle greets Kentaro Moriya as he departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
  • 81' Kentaro Moriya makes way for Akito Fukuta at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 85' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryonosuke Kabayama is hanging Taichi Kikuchi on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' The deadlock is broken! Kosuke Kinoshita gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Kyōto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Kyōto Sanga FC or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kyōto Sanga FC41% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Kyōto Sanga FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
Kyōto Sanga FC or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kyōto Sanga FC30% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kyōto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyōto Sanga FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.