Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, DFB-Pokal 2020-21 ROUND OF 64

DFB-Pokal · 2020-21
Sat 12 Sep 2020 · 16:30 UTC Donaustadion HT 45+5' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC Erzgebirge AueDFB-Pokal at Donaustadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Stein
  • Referee Michael Bacher
  • Referee Tobias Fritsch
  • Referee Johannes Huber

Head-to-Head

1
SSV Ulm 1846 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep FC Erzgebirge Aue H 2–0 W
10 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
30 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–5 L
18 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
11 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–2 D
04 May Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep SSV Ulm 1846 A 0–2 L
30 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–2 L
10 Aug FSV Wacker 90 Nordhausen A 4–1 W
18 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg A 4–1 W
05 May SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen H 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Donaustadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Tom Baumgart needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Robin Heusser made 200 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Thomas Geyer.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SSV Ulm 1846 that had 200 games and scored 48 goals.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Soren Gonther suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' It looks surprising FC Erzgebirge Aue does not make any changes. Adrian Beck has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' Goal! Tobias Ruhle scores his 1 goal in 1 matches.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' The referee shows SSV Ulm 1846 player a Yellow card on 43.
  • 46' Time for substitution for FC Erzgebirge Aue. Tom Baumgart is replaced by Jan Hochscheidt.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Erzgebirge Aue is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' It is a substitution in FC Erzgebirge Aue team. Philipp Zulechner is replaced by Pascal Testroet on 55 minute.
  • 57' The referee shows FC Erzgebirge Aue player a Yellow card on 57.
  • 60' Florian Ballas is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 63' Erik Majetschak has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ognjen Gnjatic on 63 minute.
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 69' SSV Ulm 1846 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felix Higl is hanging Tobias Ruhle on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Erzgebirge Aue needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' Time for substitution for SSV Ulm 1846. Ardian Morina is replaced by Anton Fink.
  • 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adrian Beck on 76.
  • 81' SSV Ulm 1846 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 84' Another substitution for FC Erzgebirge Aue to replace Patrick Strauss by Sascha Hartel on 84 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for SSV Ulm 1846 to replace Robin Heusser by Albano Gashi on 85 minute.
  • 86' SSV Ulm 1846 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 89' The referee shows FC Erzgebirge Aue player a Yellow card on 89.
  • 89' Goal! Felix Higl scores his 6 goal in 200 matches.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anton Fink on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Erzgebirge Aue.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSV Ulm 184647% Draw27% FC Erzgebirge Aue26%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SSV Ulm 1846 or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue
53%
SSV Ulm 1846 or FC Erzgebirge Aue
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSV Ulm 184632% Draw47% FC Erzgebirge Aue21%
Actual: SSV Ulm 1846 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SSV Ulm 1846

Handicap SSV Ulm 1846 covers Push FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
33%
FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.