Sunday , 26 July 2026

SSC Napoli vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Diego Armando Maradona HT 45' · FT 45'
Leo Ostigard 19' 1–0
1–1 27' Vinicius Junior
1–2 34' Jude Bellingham
Piotr Zielinski pen 54' 2–2
2–3 78' Alex Meret og

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2
16 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
30 Sep US Lecce A 4–0 W
27 Sep Udinese Calcio H 4–1 W
24 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
20 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
16 Sep Genoa CFC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
30 Sep Girona FC A 3–0 W
27 Sep UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
24 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–3 L
20 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
17 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SSC Napoli Real Madrid CF
#30 Position #9
8 Points 15
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
9 Scored 21
15 Conceded 12
-6 GD +9
1.00 PPG 1.88
25% Win % 63%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

SSC Napoli are 30th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SSC Napoli
Scott McTominay 4 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli26% Draw23% Real Madrid CF51%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
49%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
SSC Napoli or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli20% Draw36% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 3
6.9%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
4.4%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 20% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 17% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
9%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.