Sunday , 4 October 2026

SM Caen vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 2 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2021-22
4 – 1
Full Time
Sat 12 Mar 2022 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Toulouse FC H 4–1 W
05 Mar Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 0–1 L
26 Feb SC Bastia H 2–1 W
19 Feb Pau FC A 0–1 L
12 Feb Nimes Olympique H 4–0 W
05 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar SM Caen A 1–4 L
07 Mar USL Dunkerque H 2–0 W
28 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–0 W
21 Feb Le Havre AC H 4–0 W
12 Feb Valenciennes FC A 3–1 W
05 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 4–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stade Michel d'Ornano!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Hugo Vandermersch needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 17' Alex Mendy puts SM Caen on the lead.
  • 18' What a moment for Alex Mendy! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 23' Djibril Diani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' What composure from Yoann Court! The France international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 32' That is a Yellow card for Toulouse FC. Stijn Spierings will be fuming at that decision.
  • 37' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 42' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The whistle greets Moussa Diarra as he departs to be replaced by Denis Genreau.
  • 49' A goal from the Brazil international Rafael Ratao! He fires home on 49 to make it 3-1!
  • 51' A goal from the Congo international Prince Oniangue! He fires home on 51 to make it 4-1!
  • 52' Prince Oniangue makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and SM Caen are in front.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 425 games and scored 411 goals.
  • 61' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 61 minute. Bafode Diakite leaves to be changed by Issiaga Sylla.
  • 62' Alex Mendy makes way for Benjamin Jeannot at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 64' Ado Onaiwu is replacing Stijn Spierings for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 71' A stunning finish from Nuno Da Costa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 74' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Brahim Traore comes on to replace Ibrahim Cisse.
  • 79' Sam Sanna has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mikkel Desler on 79 minute.
  • 81' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Steve Shamal on, Nuno Da Costa off on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • Another three points for SM Caen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen50% Draw24% Toulouse FC26%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or Toulouse FC
50%
SM Caen or Toulouse FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen37% Draw42% Toulouse FC21%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.