Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2020-21
3 0
Full Time
Sat 8 May 2021 · 18:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May SM Caen H 3–0 W
04 May Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
01 May Paris FC A 1–3 L
17 Apr La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 1–0 W
12 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
03 Apr AS Nancy-Lorraine H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Toulouse FC A 0–3 L
01 May AJ Auxerre H 0–0 D
24 Apr FC Sochaux-Montbéliard A 0–1 L
20 Apr USL Dunkerque H 1–1 D
17 Apr ES Troyes AC A 0–1 L
10 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Toulouse FC have kicked off against SM Caen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Toulouse FC have won 404 goals from 420 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 23' Johann Lepenant gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Prince Oniangue and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' GOAL! Brecht Dejaegere scores on 30. Assisted by Amine Adli
  • 35' The 34-year-old Ruben Gabrielsen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sebastien Dewaest made 316 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Toulouse FCBranco van den Boomen on, Brecht Dejaegere off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Anthony Weber.
  • 61' Kevin Mbala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yoann Court at the 61 minute mark.
  • 63' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 63 minute. Moussa Diarra leaves to be changed by Sam Sanna.
  • 66' The referee shows SM Caen player a Yellow card on 66.
  • 67' The referee has no hesitation. Steeve Yago is booked for SM Caen — Red card on 67.
  • 67' Vakoun Issouf Bayo does the damage! The net is bulging and Toulouse FC surge ahead!
  • 71' Loup Hervieu gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Benjamin Jeannot and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Rhys Healey comes on to replace Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 80' A stunning finish from Nathan N'Goumou — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 80' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Amine Adli is replaced by Nathan N'Goumou.
  • 81' Goal! Nathan N'Goumou scores his 21 goal in 420 matches.
  • 81' Nathan N'Goumou has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amine Adli on 81 minute.
  • 82' Kevin Mbala has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 82.
  • 87' Benjamin Jeannot is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC59% Draw24% SM Caen17%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
83%
Draw or SM Caen
41%
Toulouse FC or SM Caen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC40% Draw46% SM Caen14%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
44%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.