Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2021-22
2 – 3
Full Time
Mon 27 Sep 2021 · 18:45 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep SM Caen H 2–3 L
21 Sep USL Dunkerque A 2–0 W
18 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 H 4–1 W
13 Sep Le Havre AC A 1–1 D
28 Aug Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W
21 Aug Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Toulouse FC A 3–2 W
21 Sep Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 0–1 L
18 Sep SC Bastia A 1–1 D
11 Sep Pau FC H 1–2 L
28 Aug Nimes Olympique A 0–0 D
25 Aug AC Ajaccio A 0–2 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Toulouse FC have kicked off against SM Caen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 8' A stunning finish from Franklin Wadja — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 14' What composure from Branco van den Boomen! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 17' A goal from the Netherlands international Branco van den Boomen! He fires home on 17 to make it 2-1!
  • 22' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' Toulouse FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Toulouse FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
  • 32' A moment of madness from Alex Mendy on 32 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 37' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bafode Diakite makes it 2-2.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Jessy Deminguet makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and SM Caen are in front.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Denis Genreau.
  • 55' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' Toulouse FC make a change. Brecht Dejaegere trudges off to be replaced by Nathan N'Goumou on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Alex Mendy has been relatively quiet despite scoring 86 goals in his last 391 appearances.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Naatan Skyttae comes on to replace Denis Genreau.
  • 67' Anthony Goncalves has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jessy Deminguet on 67 minute.
  • 72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Ado Onaiwu is replaced by Mamady Bangre.
  • 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 83' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Caleb Zady Sery by Steve Shamal on 83 minute.
  • 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • The points are shared — Toulouse FC 2-3 SM Caen. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or SM Caen 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC43% Draw27% SM Caen30%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
70%
Draw or SM Caen
57%
Toulouse FC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC32% Draw45% SM Caen23%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.