Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec SC Bastia H 1–0 W
27 Nov Angers SCO A 0–3 L
11 Nov US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 3–3 D
04 Nov ES Troyes AC A 1–2 L
28 Oct Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct AJ Auxerre H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec SM Caen A 0–1 L
25 Nov AJ Auxerre H 0–0 D
11 Nov Paris FC A 0–1 L
04 Nov FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 3–1 W
28 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 0–0 D
21 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SM Caen vs SC Bastia — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Bastia's shape.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SC Bastia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Patrice Sauvaget will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Bastia backline.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 34' That is a card for SC Bastia. Cheick Keita will be fuming at that decision.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Johny Placide has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 49' SC Bastia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
  • 54' It’s high time Patrice Sauvaget made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' A tactical swap from SC Bastia — Florian Bianchini on, Kapitbafan Djoco off on 65 minutes.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jocelyn Janneh on 67 minutes.
  • 67' Noe Lebreton gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Quentin Daubin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' The 38-year-old Romain Thomas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Another change for SM Caen made on 79 minute. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi leaves to be changed by Daylam Meddah.
  • 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 88' Alex Mendy does the damage! The net is bulging and SM Caen surge ahead!
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Dylan Tavares is booked for SC Bastia — card on 90.
  • 90' SM Caen ring the changes. Bilal Brahimi has done his job and it is now time for Mohamed Hafid to step up.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for SM Caen and SC Bastia (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen49% Draw28% SC Bastia23%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw51% SC Bastia18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.