SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | SC Bastia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Angers SCO | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 Nov | ES Troyes AC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Valenciennes FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | AJ Auxerre | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | SM Caen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | AJ Auxerre | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Nov | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | FC Girondins de Bordeaux | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SM Caen and SC Bastia has kicked off!
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SM Caen that had 399 games and scored 298 goals.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cheick Keita on 34 minutes.
- 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dylan Tavares suffering a number of foals already.
- 44' Tunisia international Ali El Abdi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 49' SC Bastia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yllan Okou made 432 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' Alex Mendy has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 64' Quentin Daubin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
- 65' SC Bastia ring the changes. Kapitbafan Djoco has done his job and it is now time for Florian Bianchini to step up.
- 67' That is a card for SC Bastia. Jocelyn Janneh will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' Noe Lebreton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Quentin Daubin on 67 minute.
- 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 77' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi argues furiously but the card stands.
- 79' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi by Daylam Meddah on 79 minute.
- 84' SC Bastia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 88' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Alex Mendy makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 88.
- 90' Dylan Tavares has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Bilal Brahimi departs to be replaced by Mohamed Hafid.
- The points are shared — SM Caen 1-0 SC Bastia. Honours even.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Mohamed Hafid 90'
- 1
- 29
- 19
- 4
- 23
- 2
- 17
-
6
Quentin Daubin ↓ Noe Lebreton 67'
- 61
- 97
Bench
- 92
- 16
-
11
Mickael Le Bihan ↑ 79'
-
27
Daylam Meddah ↑ 79'
- 28
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↑ 67'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 90'
Coach
Patrice Sauvaget
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 13
- 10
-
4
Anthony Roncaglia ↓ Felix Tomi 90'
- 30
- 99
- 42
- 66
- 95
- 39
- 15
Bench
- 22
- 23
-
18
Felix Tomi ↑ 90'
- 27
-
17
Florian Bianchini ↑ 65'
- 19
- 5
Coach
Regis Brouard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Hianga Mananga Mbock | 1 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.