SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | SC Bastia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Angers SCO | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 Nov | ES Troyes AC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Valenciennes FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | AJ Auxerre | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | SM Caen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | AJ Auxerre | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Nov | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | FC Girondins de Bordeaux | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Michel-d'Ornano that hosts another battle between SM Caen and SC Bastia.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anthony Mandrea, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Johny Placide has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' The referee shows SC Bastia player a card on 34.
- 39' SC Bastia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bilal Brahimi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
- 49' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 59' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Bastia backline.
- 64' Christophe Vincent, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 65' A change in the SC Bastia ranks — Kapitbafan Djoco exits the field as Florian Bianchini enters on 65.
- 67' Jocelyn Janneh was booked on 67.
- 67' SM Caen make a change. Quentin Daubin trudges off to be replaced by Noe Lebreton on 67 minutes.
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' That is a card for SM Caen. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi is replaced by Daylam Meddah.
- 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SM Caen and SC Bastia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 88' What a moment for Alex Mendy! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Dylan Tavares.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Hafid. He replaces Bilal Brahimi on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SM Caen to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Mohamed Hafid 90'
- 1
- 29
- 19
- 4
- 23
- 2
- 17
-
6
Quentin Daubin ↓ Noe Lebreton 67'
- 61
- 97
Bench
- 92
- 16
-
11
Mickael Le Bihan ↑ 79'
-
27
Daylam Meddah ↑ 79'
- 28
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↑ 67'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 90'
Coach
Patrice Sauvaget
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 13
- 10
-
4
Anthony Roncaglia ↓ Felix Tomi 90'
- 30
- 99
- 42
- 66
- 95
- 39
- 15
Bench
- 22
- 23
-
18
Felix Tomi ↑ 90'
- 27
-
17
Florian Bianchini ↑ 65'
- 19
- 5
Coach
Regis Brouard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Anton Saletros | 1 |
| Hianga Mananga Mbock | 1 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.