Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
3 1
Full Time
Fri 3 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SC Bastia H 3–1 W
31 Jan FC Annecy A 0–2 L
28 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan FC Sochaux-Montbéliard A 2–1 W
10 Jan FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–2 D
30 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SM Caen A 1–3 L
31 Jan AS Saint-Étienne H 2–0 W
28 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–0 W
13 Jan Pau FC H 1–0 W
10 Jan US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Michel d'Ornano that hosts another battle between SM Caen and SC Bastia.
  • 5' SC Bastia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' SC Bastia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Frank Magri made 174 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Dylan Tavares is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Bastia so far.
  • 30' Quentin Daubin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 31' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Ducrocq is booked for SC Bastia — Yellow card on 31.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Bilal Brahimi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' A goal from the Sweden international Anton Saletros! He fires home on 50 to make it 1-0!
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' A tactical swap from SC BastiaKapitbafan Djoco on, Benjamin Santelli off on 57 minutes.
  • 58' A tactical swap from SC BastiaFrank Magri on, Dylan Tavares off on 58 minutes.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Emmanuel Ntim. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 63' Joris Sainati is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 68' A goal from the Guinea-Bissau international Alex Mendy! He fires home on 68 to make it 2-0!
  • 70' Florian Bohnert has so much to prove this time. He replaces Migouel Alfarela on 70 minute.
  • 71' SC Bastia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Bilal Brahimi as he leaves the pitch. Yoann Court steps in for SM Caen.
  • 77' A tactical swap from SM CaenSamuel Essende on, Quentin Daubin off on 77 minutes.
  • 81' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Godson Kyeremeh is replaced by Norman Bassette on 81 minute.
  • 82' The Guinea-Bissau centre-forward Alex Mendy breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 3-0!
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' Yohan Bai doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' The Yohan Bai breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 3-2!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SM Caen take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen48% Draw28% SC Bastia24%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Bastia
52%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen32% Draw48% SC Bastia20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.