SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stade de Reims | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier HSC | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Metz | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Annecy | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau FC | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | USL Dunkerque | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Nantes | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | SC Bastia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Jan | FC Annecy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jan | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Jan | FC Girondins de Bordeaux | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Dec | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | SM Caen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Jan | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Jan | Pau FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jan | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Dec | Valenciennes FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SM Caen kicks off things out of here…
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joris Sainati made 436 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and SC Bastia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Anton Saletros needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 31' Tom Ducrocq catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 31.
- 36' A quiet spell here at Stade Michel d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Bilal Brahimi picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and SC Bastia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 50' A stunning finish from Anton Saletros — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' A tactical swap from SC Bastia — Kapitbafan Djoco on, Benjamin Santelli off on 57 minutes.
- 58' Another substitution for SC Bastia to replace Dylan Tavares by Frank Magri on 58 minute.
- 62' The referee shows SM Caen player a Yellow card on 62.
- 63' Joris Sainati catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 63.
- 68' What a strike from Alex Mendy! The score is 2-0.
- 70' Florian Bohnert has so much to prove this time. He replaces Migouel Alfarela on 70 minute.
- 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sebastien Salles Lamonge on 71.
- 72' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Yoann Court on, Bilal Brahimi off on 72 minutes.
- 77' The crowd applauds Quentin Daubin as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Essende steps in for SM Caen.
- 81' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Godson Kyeremeh by Norman Bassette on 81 minute.
- 82' A goal from the Guinea-Bissau international Alex Mendy! He fires home on 82 to make it 3-0!
- 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 88' Yohan Bai has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
- 89' GOAL! Yohan Bai fires home to make it 3-2!
- 3-1 the final result. SC Bastia will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Yoann Court 72'
- 27
- 1
- 29
- 19
- 91
- 14
- 2
- 17
- 18
-
6
Quentin Daubin ↓ Samuel Essende 77'
Bench
- 16
-
11
Yoann Court ↑ 72'
-
99
Samuel Essende ↑ 77'
-
24
Hugo Vandermersch ↑ 81'
- 28
-
77
Norman Bassette ↑ 81'
- 12
Coach
Stephane Moulin
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 20
- 13
- 9
- 22
- 25
- 27
-
8
Kevin Schur ↓ Yohan Bai 70'
- 30
- 10
-
42
Dylan Tavares ↓ Frank Magri 58'
Bench
- 1
-
7
Christophe Vincent ↑ 58'
- 4
-
11
Frank Magri ↑ 58'
-
96
Yohan Bai ↑ 70'
-
39
Kapitbafan Djoco ↑ 57'
-
15
Florian Bohnert ↑ 70'
Coach
Regis Brouard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
| Zakaria Ariss | 1 |
| Sebastien Salles Lamonge | 1 |
| Anton Saletros | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Bastia
52%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.