Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
3 1
Full Time
Fri 3 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SC Bastia H 3–1 W
31 Jan FC Annecy A 0–2 L
28 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 2–1 W
10 Jan FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–2 D
30 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SM Caen A 1–3 L
31 Jan AS Saint-Étienne H 2–0 W
28 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–0 W
13 Jan Pau FC H 1–0 W
10 Jan US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SM Caen have kicked off against SC Bastia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Stade Michel d'Ornano. SC Bastia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Bastia's shape.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Benjamin Santelli made 66 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' A moment of madness from Tom Ducrocq on 31 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SC Bastia will be frustrated.
  • 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Bilal Brahimi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Anton Saletros makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SM Caen are in front.
  • 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' A change in the SC Bastia ranks — Benjamin Santelli exits the field as Kapitbafan Djoco enters on 57.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Frank Magri. He replaces Dylan Tavares on 58 minute.
  • 62' Emmanuel Ntim picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Joris Sainati.
  • 68' Alex Mendy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
  • 70' The SC Bastia manager makes a substitution. Migouel Alfarela departs to be replaced by Florian Bohnert.
  • 71' The referee has no hesitation. Sebastien Salles Lamonge is booked for SC Bastia — Yellow card on 71.
  • 72' Another change for SM Caen made on 72 minute. Bilal Brahimi leaves to be changed by Yoann Court.
  • 77' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Samuel Essende comes on to replace Quentin Daubin.
  • 81' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Godson Kyeremeh departs to be replaced by Norman Bassette.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Alex Mendy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 87' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Yohan Bai gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 89' Yohan Bai has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen48% Draw28% SC Bastia24%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Bastia
52%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen32% Draw48% SC Bastia20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.