Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
3 – 1
Full Time
Fri 3 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SC Bastia H 3–1 W
31 Jan FC Annecy A 0–2 L
28 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 2–1 W
10 Jan FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–2 D
30 Dec AS Saint-Etienne A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SM Caen A 1–3 L
31 Jan AS Saint-Etienne H 2–0 W
28 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–0 W
13 Jan Pau FC H 1–0 W
10 Jan US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SM Caen is hosting SC Bastia for another epic battle.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past SC Bastia's compact .
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Anton Saletros has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Tom Ducrocq.
  • 36' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' Poor challenge from Bilal Brahimi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 45' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Johny Placide has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 50' Magnificent from Anton Saletros! That is 3 goals in 373 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 55' Christophe Vincent has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Kapitbafan Djoco. He replaces Benjamin Santelli on 57 minute.
  • 58' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Dylan Tavares is replaced by Frank Magri.
  • 62' SM Caen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 63' SC Bastia receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 68' Alex Mendy makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and SM Caen are in front.
  • 70' SC Bastia make a change. Migouel Alfarela trudges off to be replaced by Florian Bohnert on 70 minutes.
  • 71' Sebastien Salles Lamonge catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 71.
  • 72' Yoann Court is replacing Bilal Brahimi for the SM Caen side.
  • 77' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Quentin Daubin departs to be replaced by Samuel Essende.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Norman Bassette. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh on 81 minute.
  • 82' Alex Mendy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 82 minutes.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 88' Against the run of play, Yohan Bai has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 89' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yohan Bai makes no mistake. 3-2!
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Bastia.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen48% Draw28% SC Bastia24%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Bastia
52%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen32% Draw48% SC Bastia20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.