Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 – 2
Full Time
Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan SM Caen H 1–2 L
13 Jan Angers SCO H 2–0 W
19 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 2–3 L
16 Dec US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–0 D
05 Dec USL Dunkerque A 5–0 W
02 Dec SM Caen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan SC Bastia A 2–1 W
13 Jan US Concarneau H 1–0 W
19 Dec Amiens SC A 0–0 D
16 Dec USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
06 Dec FC Annecy A 2–1 W
02 Dec SC Bastia H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Armand Cesari!
  • 5' Florian Bohnert has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' SC Bastia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Anthony Roncaglia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Bastia so far.
  • 23' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 28' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' Benjamin Santelli doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Charles Traore is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Bastia.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi made 399 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Romain Thomas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hianga Mananga Mbock makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi on 62.
  • 64' Quentin Daubin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hianga Mananga Mbock on 64 minute.
  • 69' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 72' SM Caen ring the changes. Godson Kyeremeh has done his job and it is now time for Bilal Brahimi to step up.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Christophe Vincent as he leaves the pitch. Gaetan Charbonnier steps in for SC Bastia.
  • 78' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Bastia in their trying to find a way past SM Caen's compact .
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Daylam Meddah. He replaces Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi on 79 minute.
  • 81' It’s gonna be a card for Gaetan Charbonnier.
  • 83' Alex Mendy puts SM Caen on the lead.
  • 84' SC Bastia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' France international Christophe Vincent has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' SC Bastia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Romaric Yapi is hanging Charles Traore on the field on 90 minute.
  • SM Caen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or SM Caen 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia31% Draw30% SM Caen39%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
61%
Draw or SM Caen
69%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia23% Draw51% SM Caen26%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.