Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 – 2
Full Time
Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan SM Caen H 1–2 L
13 Jan Angers SCO H 2–0 W
19 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 2–3 L
16 Dec US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–0 D
05 Dec USL Dunkerque A 5–0 W
02 Dec SM Caen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan SC Bastia A 2–1 W
13 Jan US Concarneau H 1–0 W
19 Dec Amiens SC A 0–0 D
16 Dec USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
06 Dec FC Annecy A 2–1 W
02 Dec SC Bastia H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SC Bastia and SM Caen has kicked off!
  • 5' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' SC Bastia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Noe Lebreton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 399 appearances.
  • 23' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' Benjamin Santelli makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SC Bastia are in front.
  • 38' Brahim Traore has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
  • 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' The referee shows SM Caen player a card on 55.
  • 60' Hianga Mananga Mbock adds to his 0 season tally! SM Caen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 62' That is a card for SM Caen. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' Quentin Daubin is replacing Hianga Mananga Mbock for the SM Caen side.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Godson Kyeremeh is replaced by Bilal Brahimi on 72 minute.
  • 73' The SC Bastia bench stirs into life. Christophe Vincent is withdrawn and Gaetan Charbonnier gets his opportunity.
  • 78' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 79' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi exits the field as Daylam Meddah enters on 79.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Gaetan Charbonnier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' Alex Mendy does the damage! The net is bulging and SM Caen surge ahead!
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gaetan Charbonnier on 84 minutes.
  • 89' With 0 assists to his name this season, Florian Bianchini is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
  • 90' Mickael Le Bihan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Romaric Yapi gets the nod from SC Bastia. He replaces Charles Traore and will look to change the dynamic.
  • SC Bastia will have plenty to reflect on. SM Caen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or SM Caen 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia31% Draw30% SM Caen39%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
61%
Draw or SM Caen
69%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia23% Draw51% SM Caen26%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.