Thursday , 2 July 2026

Pau FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 17:30 UTC Nouste Camp HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Pau FC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 at Nouste Camp.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Gaillouste

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct SC Bastia H 1–1 D
18 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
27 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–3 L
24 Sep FC Lorient H 1–0 W
20 Sep USL Dunkerque A 2–3 L
13 Sep FC Martigues H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Pau FC A 1–1 D
18 Oct Clermont Foot 63 H 0–0 D
27 Sep FC Annecy H 2–2 D
24 Sep USL Dunkerque A 1–2 L
20 Sep Paris FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep ES Troyes AC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Pau FC SC Bastia
#15 Position #3
0 Points 28
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 13 / 16
0 Scored 23
0 Conceded 42
+0 GD -19
PPG 0.82
Win % 15%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Pau FC are 15th (0 pts). SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.77 Pau FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Pau FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Pau FC36% Draw37% SC Bastia27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Pau FC or Draw
73%
Draw or SC Bastia
64%
Pau FC or SC Bastia
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Pau FC20% Draw63% SC Bastia17%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.2%
1 – 0
16.5%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 0
1.7%
3 – 1
1.3%
0 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Pau FC

Handicap Pau FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 22% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 19% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Pau FC keeps clean sheet
51%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
47%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.