SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Ahmed Taleb
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stade de Reims | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier HSC | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Metz | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Annecy | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau FC | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | USL Dunkerque | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Nantes | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | SC Bastia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | FC Martigues | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | ES Troyes AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Red Star FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FC Lorient | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | SM Caen | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Rodez Aveyron Football | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | Pau FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Annecy | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | USL Dunkerque | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SM Caen and SC Bastia has kicked off!
- 5' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' The 22-year-old Noe Lebreton has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Loic Etoga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Bastia tonight.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and SC Bastia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 31' The deadlock is broken! Alex Mendy gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
- 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 41' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Bastia backline.
- 45' The referee shows SC Bastia player a card on 45.
- 46' Diabe Bolumbu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valentin Henry on 46 minute.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Florian Bohnert needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 57' The France Bilal Brahimi breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 2-0!
- 62' SC Bastia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 65' Godson Kyeremeh is replacing Mickael Le Bihan for the SM Caen side.
- 67' Clement Rodrigues makes way for Felix Tomi at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Bastia.
- 69' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
- 74' The SC Bastia manager makes a substitution. Christophe Vincent departs to be replaced by Julien Maggiotti.
- 77' SM Caen ring the changes. Bilal Brahimi has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Rajot to step up.
- 82' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 90' SM Caen make a change. Alex Mendy trudges off to be replaced by Mathias Autret on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 77'
- 16
- 8
-
18
Kalifa Coulibaly ↓ Tidiam Gomis 65'
- 29
-
19
Alex Mendy ↓ Mathias Autret 90'
- 28
-
4
Valentin Henry ↓ Diabe Bolumbu 46'
- 61
- 20
- 77
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mathias Autret ↑ 90'
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 77'
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↑ 65'
-
3
Diabe Bolumbu ↑ 46'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 65'
- 36
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
13
Tom Ducrocq ↓ Loic Etoga 67'
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↓ Lamine Cisse 46'
- 30
- 66
- 15
- 10
- 28
-
25
Clement Rodrigues ↓ Felix Tomi 67'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 6
- 23
-
9
Felix Tomi ↑ 67'
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↑ 46'
-
14
Loic Etoga ↑ 67'
-
5
Julien Maggiotti ↑ 74'
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Anton Saletros | 1 |
| Hianga Mananga Mbock | 1 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Bastia
48%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SM Caen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.