Thursday , 2 July 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
SE Palmeiras
2 – 1
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Parque 13,572 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marlon Freitas 44' 1–0
1–1 54' Carlos Vinicius
Marlon Freitas 72' 2–1
Y 40' Pedro Gabriel
Y 70' Luis Castro
Y 74' Gustavo Martins
Y 86' Dodi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Thiago Neto Correa (Brazil)
9 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

11
4
3
SE Palmeiras 18 games · Avg 2.6 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–1 W
22 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Botafogo FR H 2–1 W
15 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
26 Feb Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
22 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
19 Mar EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
16 Mar Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
13 Mar RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
26 Feb CA Mineiro H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Grêmio FBPA
#1 Position #16
41 Points 21
18 Played 18
12 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
30 Scored 20
13 Conceded 23
+17 GD -3
2.28 PPG 1.17
67% Win % 28%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Allianz Parque will turn into a battlefield for SE Palmeiras and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Marlon Freitas scoring 2 goals.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Andreas Pereira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jhon Arias made 386 appearances and scored 28 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' It’s gonna be a card for Pedro Gabriel.
  • 44' Goal! Marlon Freitas scores his 13 goal in 152 matches.
  • 46' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Erick Noriega departs to be replaced by Dodi.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius scores on 54. Assisted by Gustavo Martins
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 67' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arthur Santana is hanging Jefte on the field on 67 minute.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Luis Castro. He receives a card.
  • 71' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felipe Anderson is hanging Mauricio on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marlon Freitas on 72.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Ramon Sosa. He replaces Jose Manuel Lopez on 72 minute.
  • 74' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 74.
  • 76' Martin Braithwaite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jose Enamorado on 76 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Juan Ignacio Nardoni by Bernardo Zortea on 80 minute.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Evangelista. He replaces Allan on 84 minute.
  • 86' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 86.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 7
Diego Souza 3
Estevao 2
Willian 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Willian 2
Marlon Freitas 2
Deyverson 2

Head to Head

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Grêmio FBPA W 2026-03-22 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2026-03-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo FR W 2026-03-15 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-03-12 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 SE Palmeiras L 2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W

Grêmio FBPA Form

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2026-03-22 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2026-03-19 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2026-03-16 Chapecoense AF 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2026-03-13 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2026-02-26 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.81 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras60% Draw24% Grêmio FBPA16%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
40%
SE Palmeiras or Grêmio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras41% Draw45% Grêmio FBPA14%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
11.6%
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.