Saturday , 14 November 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
SE Palmeiras
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Parque 13,572 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marlon Freitas 44' 1–0
1–1 54' Carlos Vinicius
Marlon Freitas 72' 2–1
Y 40' Pedro Gabriel
Y 70' Luis Castro
Y 74' Gustavo Martins
Y 86' Dodi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Thiago Neto Correa (Brazil)
13 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 35 51
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 Sao Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 35 41
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

11
5
3
SE Palmeiras 19 games · Avg 2.4 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-04 Gremio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
22 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Botafogo FR H 2–1 W
15 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
26 Feb Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
22 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
19 Mar EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
16 Mar Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
13 Mar RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
26 Feb CA Mineiro H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Gremio FBPA
#2 Position #18
73 Points 37
34 Played 34
21 / 10 / 3 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 15
62 Scored 38
23 Conceded 47
+39 GD -9
2.15 PPG 1.09
62% Win % 26%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SE Palmeiras get us underway at Allianz Parque.
  • 5' Gremio FBPA have won 397 goals from 339 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' The travelling Gremio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 44' The Brazil Marlon Freitas breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-0!
  • 46' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dodi is hanging Erick Noriega on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Carlos Vinicius has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' Carlos Vinicius does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dodi, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 67' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Jefte by Arthur Santana on 67 minute.
  • 70' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Luis Castro will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' Mauricio makes way for Felipe Anderson at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 72' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marlon Freitas makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 72' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Jose Manuel Lopez has done his job and it is now time for Ramon Sosa to step up.
  • 74' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Gustavo Martins will be fuming at that decision.
  • 76' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Jose Enamorado by Martin Braithwaite on 76 minute.
  • 80' Juan Ignacio Nardoni makes way for Bernardo Zortea at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 84' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 84 minute. Allan leaves to be changed by Lucas Evangelista.
  • 86' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Dodi will be fuming at that decision.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 7
Diego Souza 3
Estevao 2
Willian 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Willian 2
Marlon Freitas 2
Deyverson 2

Head to Head

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-04 Gremio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2026-03-22 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2026-03-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo FR W 2026-03-15 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-03-12 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 SE Palmeiras L 2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W

Grêmio FBPA Form

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-03-22 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-03-19 Gremio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria L 2026-03-16 Chapecoense AF 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2026-03-13 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2026-02-26 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras63% Draw22% Grêmio FBPA15%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
37%
SE Palmeiras or Grêmio FBPA
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras45% Draw43% Grêmio FBPA12%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 24% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.