SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 20 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 20 | 31 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo FR | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 20 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 20 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 20 | 26 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 20 | 26 |
| 14 | Santos FC | 20 | 22 |
| 15 | Grêmio FBPA | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 20 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 20 | 21 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 20 | 21 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 19 | 20 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/6
61-75
3/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Lucas Lima has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' SC Recife are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Igor Carius has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' It’s a booking for SC Recife player. Christian Rivera gets a card.
- 46' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Igor Carius by Kevyson on 46 minute.
- 50' A stunning finish from Derik Lacerda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 52' Derik Lacerda was booked on 52.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Andre Silva. He replaces Juan Dinenno on 57 minute.
- 58' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Maik will be fuming at that decision.
- 63' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 66' Assisted by Henrique Fabiano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Moura makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 68' The crowd applauds Luan as he leaves the pitch. Damian Bobadilla steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 73' Pedro Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheusinho on 73 minute.
- 74' Derik Lacerda makes way for Pablo Felipe at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
- 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 81' It’s gonna be a card for Kevyson.
- 82' Leo Augusto makes way for Chrystian Barletta at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
- 87' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Lucas Lima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' Another change for SC Recife made on 90 minute. Lucas Lima leaves to be changed by Joao Silva.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
- 15
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Kevyson 46'
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Joao Silva 90'
- 33
- 38
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Pablo Felipe 74'
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Pedro Augusto 73'
- 14
- 58
Bench
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 74'
- 19
- 11
- 22
- 9
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 73'
- 13
-
3
Kevyson ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Silva ↑ 90'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 82'
- 20
- 46
Coach
Daniel Paulista
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Luan ↓ Damian Bobadilla 68'
-
28
Alan Franco ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 57'
- 35
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Henrique Fabiano 57'
- 36
- 29
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↓ Lucas Moura 46'
- 50
-
19
Juan Dinenno ↓ Andre Silva 57'
- 42
- 14
Bench
- 6
-
7
Lucas Moura ↑ 46'
- 13
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 57'
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 57'
- 12
-
21
Damian Bobadilla ↑ 68'
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 57'
- 34
- 56
- 46
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
| Marlone | 1 |
| Gabriel Sara | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Lucas Lima | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.1
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
SC Recife or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
62%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
68%
SC Recife or Sao Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Recife win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
