Tuesday , 28 July 2026

SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 2
Full Time
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 58' Maik
Kevyson 81' Y
Lucas Lima 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D
10 Aug Grêmio FBPA A 1–0 W
02 Aug EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Santos FC H 2–2 D
24 Jul EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
20 Jul Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
03 Aug SC Internacional A 2–1 W
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/6
61-75
3/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Lucas Lima has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' SC Recife are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Igor Carius has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' It’s a booking for SC Recife player. Christian Rivera gets a card.
  • 46' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Igor Carius by Kevyson on 46 minute.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Derik Lacerda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' Derik Lacerda was booked on 52.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Andre Silva. He replaces Juan Dinenno on 57 minute.
  • 58' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Maik will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 66' Assisted by Henrique Fabiano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Moura makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 68' The crowd applauds Luan as he leaves the pitch. Damian Bobadilla steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 73' Pedro Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheusinho on 73 minute.
  • 74' Derik Lacerda makes way for Pablo Felipe at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
  • 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' It’s gonna be a card for Kevyson.
  • 82' Leo Augusto makes way for Chrystian Barletta at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
  • 87' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Recife is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 90' Lucas Lima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Another change for SC Recife made on 90 minute. Lucas Lima leaves to be changed by Joao Silva.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.1 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife32% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
62%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
68%
SC Recife or Sao Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife23% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
29%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.