SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mickael Leleu
5 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SM Caen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Annecy | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Red Star FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Martigues | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FC Metz | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: SM Caen gets underway.
- 4' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 4.
- 9' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 14' SM Caen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 19' A quiet spell here at Stade Armand Cesari. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 24' A stunning finish from Dominique Guidi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 28' What an equalizer from Ilyes Najim!
- 33' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Bastia in their trying to find a way past SM Caen's compact .
- 38' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 43' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' SM Caen make a change. Emmanuel Ntim trudges off to be replaced by Robin Verhaeghe on 46 minutes.
- 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mickael Le Bihan on 47.
- 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Bastia and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 57' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' Another change for SM Caen made on 61 minute. Samuel Grandsir leaves to be changed by Mathias Autret.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Maxime Ble. He replaces Jeremy Sebas on 64 minute.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 72' Zakaria Ariss puts SC Bastia on the lead.
- 73' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Ilyes Najim departs to be replaced by Gabin Tome.
- 77' Christ Inao Oulai makes way for Christophe Vincent at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Bastia.
- 82' SC Bastia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
- 86' Mohamed Boumaaoui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Amine Boutrah at the 86 minute mark.
- With this win, SC Bastia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 9
- 13
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↓ Lisandru Tramoni 77'
- 4
- 30
-
15
Florian Bohnert ↓ Tom Meynadier 64'
- 10
-
22
Jeremy Sebas ↓ Maxime Ble 64'
- 2
- 17
Bench
- 23
-
7
Christophe Vincent ↑ 77'
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↑ 77'
- 14
-
24
Tom Meynadier ↑ 64'
-
21
Mohamed Boumaaoui ↑ 86'
-
33
Maxime Ble ↑ 64'
Coach
Michel Moretti
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 6
- 16
- 8
-
91
Emmanuel Ntim ↓ Robin Verhaeghe 46'
- 61
-
50
Ilyes Najim ↓ Gabin Tome 73'
- 20
- 3
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mathias Autret ↑ 61'
- 14
- 27
-
36
Robin Verhaeghe ↑ 46'
-
39
Gabin Tome ↑ 73'
-
88
Adriel Ba Loua ↑ 61'
Coach
Michel Der Zakarian
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
| Zakaria Ariss | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Bastia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
72%
Draw or SM Caen
54%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.