SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mickael Leleu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SM Caen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Annecy | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Red Star FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Martigues | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FC Metz | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stade Armand Cesari that hosts another battle between SC Bastia and SM Caen.
- 4' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Noe Lebreton.
- 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Bastia that had 174 games and scored 197 goals.
- 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Bastia and SM Caen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 24' Dominique Guidi doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 28' Ilyes Najim doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Robin Verhaeghe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emmanuel Ntim at the 46 minute mark.
- 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mickael Le Bihan on 47.
- 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Bastia and SM Caen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' Mathias Autret has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Grandsir on 61 minute.
- 64' SC Bastia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maxime Ble is hanging Jeremy Sebas on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 72' The deadlock is broken! Zakaria Ariss gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
- 73' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Ilyes Najim departs to be replaced by Gabin Tome.
- 77' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Christ Inao Oulai is replaced by Christophe Vincent.
- 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' The SC Bastia bench stirs into life. Amine Boutrah is withdrawn and Mohamed Boumaaoui gets his opportunity.
- Full Time. SC Bastia beats SM Caen
Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 9
- 13
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↓ Lisandru Tramoni 77'
- 4
- 30
-
15
Florian Bohnert ↓ Tom Meynadier 64'
- 10
-
22
Jeremy Sebas ↓ Maxime Ble 64'
- 2
- 17
Bench
- 23
-
7
Christophe Vincent ↑ 77'
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↑ 77'
- 14
-
24
Tom Meynadier ↑ 64'
-
21
Mohamed Boumaaoui ↑ 86'
-
33
Maxime Ble ↑ 64'
Coach
Michel Moretti
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 6
- 16
- 8
-
91
Emmanuel Ntim ↓ Robin Verhaeghe 46'
- 61
-
50
Ilyes Najim ↓ Gabin Tome 73'
- 20
- 3
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mathias Autret ↑ 61'
- 14
- 27
-
36
Robin Verhaeghe ↑ 46'
-
39
Gabin Tome ↑ 73'
-
88
Adriel Ba Loua ↑ 61'
Coach
Michel Der Zakarian
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
| Zakaria Ariss | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Bastia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
72%
Draw or SM Caen
54%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.