SC Bastia vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mickael Leleu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SM Caen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Annecy | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Red Star FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Martigues | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FC Metz | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SC Bastia and SM Caen is underway.
- 4' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Noe Lebreton gets a card.
- 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Johny Placide made 174 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 24' What a strike from Dominique Guidi! The score is 1-0.
- 28' What an equalizer from Ilyes Najim!
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Boumaaoui, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Armand Cesari with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 43' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Robin Verhaeghe is replacing Emmanuel Ntim for the SM Caen side.
- 47' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
- 52' Robin Verhaeghe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Samuel Grandsir departs to be replaced by Mathias Autret.
- 64' Another change for SC Bastia made on 64 minute. Jeremy Sebas leaves to be changed by Maxime Ble.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Ducrocq suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' Zakaria Ariss puts SC Bastia on the lead.
- 73' Gabin Tome is replacing Ilyes Najim for the SM Caen side.
- 77' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Christ Inao Oulai is replaced by Christophe Vincent.
- 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Bastia that had 174 games and scored 197 goals.
- 86' The SC Bastia manager makes a substitution. Amine Boutrah departs to be replaced by Mohamed Boumaaoui.
- With this win, SC Bastia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 9
- 13
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↓ Lisandru Tramoni 77'
- 4
- 30
-
15
Florian Bohnert ↓ Tom Meynadier 64'
- 10
-
22
Jeremy Sebas ↓ Maxime Ble 64'
- 2
- 17
Bench
- 23
-
7
Christophe Vincent ↑ 77'
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↑ 77'
- 14
-
24
Tom Meynadier ↑ 64'
-
21
Mohamed Boumaaoui ↑ 86'
-
33
Maxime Ble ↑ 64'
Coach
Michel Moretti
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 6
- 16
- 8
-
91
Emmanuel Ntim ↓ Robin Verhaeghe 46'
- 61
-
50
Ilyes Najim ↓ Gabin Tome 73'
- 20
- 3
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mathias Autret ↑ 61'
- 14
- 27
-
36
Robin Verhaeghe ↑ 46'
-
39
Gabin Tome ↑ 73'
-
88
Adriel Ba Loua ↑ 61'
Coach
Michel Der Zakarian
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
| Zakaria Ariss | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Bastia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
72%
Draw or SM Caen
54%
SC Bastia or SM Caen
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.