Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Lorient vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
4 0
Full Time
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr SM Caen H 4–0 W
21 Apr FC Annecy A 0–0 D
12 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
05 Apr Pau FC H 5–0 W
29 Mar Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Bastia H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Lorient A 0–4 L
18 Apr FC Martigues H 0–3 L
11 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–2 D
05 Apr FC Metz H 2–2 D
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
14 Mar Amiens SC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade du Moustoir that hosts another battle between FC Lorient and SM Caen.
  • 5' SM Caen make a change. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi trudges off to be replaced by Robin Verhaeghe on 5 minutes.
  • 10' FC Lorient is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 13' The referee calls foul for Julien Laporte. He receives a card.
  • 17' Goal! Mohamed Bamba scores his 11 goal in 14 matches.
  • 22' Arthur Avon Ebong is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Lorient so far.
  • 24' Eli Kroupi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julien Ponceau, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 39' Jules Gaudin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 416 appearances.
  • 43' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Yann M'Vila gets a card.
  • 46' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilyes Najim is hanging Bilal Brahimi on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Stade du Moustoir. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' FC Lorient seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brahim Traore suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Another change for FC Lorient made on 65 minute. Gedeon Kalulu leaves to be changed by Igor Silva.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 73' FC Lorient make a change. Eli Kroupi trudges off to be replaced by Aiyegun Tosin on 73 minutes.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Quentin Lecoeuche as he leaves the pitch. Jules Gaudin steps in for SM Caen.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Sambou Soumano — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 83' Ilyes Najim is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Lorient tonight.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Stephane Diarra. He replaces Joel Mvuka on 86 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient70% Draw19% SM Caen11%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
88%
Draw or SM Caen
30%
FC Lorient or SM Caen
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient50% Draw39% SM Caen11%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.6%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
43%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.