Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Lorient vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
4 – 0
Full Time
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr SM Caen H 4–0 W
21 Apr FC Annecy A 0–0 D
12 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
05 Apr Pau FC H 5–0 W
29 Mar Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Bastia H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Lorient A 0–4 L
18 Apr FC Martigues H 0–3 L
11 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–2 D
05 Apr FC Metz H 2–2 D
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
14 Mar Amiens SC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Lorient is hosting SM Caen for another epic battle.
  • 5' The crowd applauds Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi as he leaves the pitch. Robin Verhaeghe steps in for SM Caen.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 13' Julien Laporte picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 17' Mohamed Bamba puts FC Lorient on the lead.
  • 22' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 24' Eli Kroupi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 29' The 22-year-old Robin Verhaeghe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Olivier Pantaloni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julien Ponceau, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Yann M'Vila.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Bilal Brahimi as he leaves the pitch. Ilyes Najim steps in for SM Caen.
  • 51' FC Lorient is showing some good football. However, FC Lorient are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' A tactical swap from FC Lorient — Igor Silva on, Gedeon Kalulu off on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Lorient must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 73' Aiyegun Tosin gets the nod from FC Lorient. He replaces Eli Kroupi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Jules Gaudin. He replaces Quentin Lecoeuche on 77 minute.
  • 78' Goal! Sambou Soumano scores his 27 goal in 225 matches.
  • 83' Samuel Grandsir has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 429 appearances.
  • 86' Stephane Diarra is replacing Joel Mvuka for the FC Lorient side.
  • Another three points for FC Lorient.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient70% Draw19% SM Caen11%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
88%
Draw or SM Caen
30%
FC Lorient or SM Caen
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient50% Draw39% SM Caen11%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.6%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.