Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Lorient vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
4 0
Full Time
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr SM Caen H 4–0 W
21 Apr FC Annecy A 0–0 D
12 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
05 Apr Pau FC H 5–0 W
29 Mar Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Bastia H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Lorient A 0–4 L
18 Apr FC Martigues H 0–3 L
11 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–2 D
05 Apr FC Metz H 2–2 D
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
14 Mar Amiens SC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Lorient gets underway.
  • 5' Robin Verhaeghe is replacing Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi for the SM Caen side.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bilal Brahimi, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 13' Julien Laporte is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
  • 17' GOAL! Mohamed Bamba scores on 17. Assisted by Julien Ponceau
  • 22' It’s high time Michel Der Zakarian made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' GOAL! Eli Kroupi scores on 24. Assisted by Julien Ponceau
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' Yann M'Vila was booked on 43.
  • 46' The whistle greets Bilal Brahimi as he departs to be replaced by Ilyes Najim.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' It looks surprising FC Lorient does not make any changes. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Godson Kyeremeh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 65' Igor Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gedeon Kalulu on 65 minute.
  • 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robin Verhaeghe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' It is a substitution in FC Lorient team. Eli Kroupi is replaced by Aiyegun Tosin on 73 minute.
  • 77' The whistle greets Quentin Lecoeuche as he departs to be replaced by Jules Gaudin.
  • 78' Goal! Sambou Soumano scores his 26 goal in 215 matches.
  • 83' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 86' Another substitution for FC Lorient to replace Joel Mvuka by Stephane Diarra on 86 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Lorient and SM Caen (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient70% Draw19% SM Caen11%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
88%
Draw or SM Caen
30%
FC Lorient or SM Caen
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient50% Draw39% SM Caen11%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.6%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
43%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.