Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs Red Star FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 1
Full Time
Fri 2 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Red Star FC — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Karim Abed
6 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Red Star FC H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Lorient A 0–4 L
18 Apr FC Martigues H 0–3 L
11 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–2 D
05 Apr FC Metz H 2–2 D
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May SM Caen A 1–1 D
25 Apr Clermont Foot 63 H 1–1 D
19 Apr FC Metz A 2–2 D
11 Apr FC Annecy H 0–1 L
05 Apr ES Troyes AC A 2–2 D
28 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Red Star FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Red Star FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Red Star FC
Damien Durand 5 G
Jovany Ikanga 4 G 2 A
Saif-Eddine Khaoui 2 G 1 A
Kevin Cabral 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Michel-d'Ornano. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Red Star FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Hianga Mananga Mbock is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aliou Badji makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 36' Red Star FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yann M'Vila is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
  • 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michel Der Zakarian might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' Ilyes Najim has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yassine Benrahou on 54 minute.
  • 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Grégory Poirier will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 63' Bilal Brahimi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Godson Kyeremeh at the 63 minute mark.
  • 68' Robin Verhaeghe, a France defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' Hianga Mananga Mbock is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fred Dembi at the 70 minute mark.
  • 72' A goal from the France international Ilyes Najim! He fires home on 72 to make it 1-1!
  • 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Heliodino Tavares, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 80' Another substitution for Red Star FC to replace Kemo Cisse by Pierre Lemonnier on 80 minute.
  • 84' Red Star FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 88' Red Star FC ring the changes. Damien Durand has done his job and it is now time for Josue Escartin to step up.
  • 90' That is a card for Red Star FC. Josue Escartin will be fuming at that decision.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Red Star FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Red Star FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen37% Draw28% Red Star FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
65%
Draw or Red Star FC
63%
SM Caen or Red Star FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen26% Draw47% Red Star FC27%
Actual: Red Star FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Red Star FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Red Star FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.