Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs Red Star FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Fri 2 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Red Star FCLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Karim Abed

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Red Star FC H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Lorient A 0–4 L
18 Apr FC Martigues H 0–3 L
11 Apr Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–2 D
05 Apr FC Metz H 2–2 D
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May SM Caen A 1–1 D
25 Apr Clermont Foot 63 H 1–1 D
19 Apr FC Metz A 2–2 D
11 Apr FC Annecy H 0–1 L
05 Apr ES Troyes AC A 2–2 D
28 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Red Star FC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' It’s high time Grégory Poirier made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Yann M'Vila has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Heliodino Tavares has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 31' Red Star FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aliou Badji on 31.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Loic Kouagba made 190 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Red Star FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 54' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Yassine Benrahou by Ilyes Najim on 54 minute.
  • 59' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 63' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Godson Kyeremeh departs to be replaced by Bilal Brahimi.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Red Star FC. Fred Dembi is replaced by Hianga Mananga Mbock.
  • 72' GOAL! Ilyes Najim scores on 72.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jules Gaudin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Pierre Lemonnier has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kemo Cisse on 80 minute.
  • 84' Dylan Durivaux is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 88' Another substitution for Red Star FC to replace Damien Durand by Josue Escartin on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Red Star FC player. Josue Escartin gets a card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Red Star FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Red Star FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen37% Draw28% Red Star FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
65%
Draw or Red Star FC
63%
SM Caen or Red Star FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen26% Draw47% Red Star FC27%
Actual: Red Star FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Red Star FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
26%
Red Star FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.