Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
1 1
Full Time
Fri 15 Aug 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Pau FCLigue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Mikael Lesage

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Pau FC H 1–1 D
10 May SM Caen H 2–1 W
02 May En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D
25 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–3 L
19 Apr Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug SC Bastia A 1–1 D
09 Aug FC Annecy H 2–0 W
10 May En Avant Guingamp H 1–3 L
02 May Amiens SC A 2–4 L
26 Apr FC Metz H 2–1 W
18 Apr AC Ajaccio A 1–1 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SC Bastia launch into their encounter with Pau FC.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or Pau FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia42% Draw27% Pau FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
70%
Draw or Pau FC
58%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia30% Draw46% Pau FC24%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
28%
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.