SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mikael Lesage
16 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game 🟥 3 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 ES Troyes AC 34 67 2 Le Mans FC 34 62 3 AS Saint-Etienne 34 60 4 Red Star FC 34 58 5 Rodez Aveyron Football 34 58 6 Stade de Reims 34 56 7 FC Annecy 34 52 8 Montpellier HSC 34 51 9 Pau FC 34 45 10 USL Dunkerque 34 43 11 En Avant Guingamp 34 40 12 Grenoble Foot 38 34 39 13 Clermont Foot 63 34 37 14 AS Nancy-Lorraine 34 37 15 US Boulogne Cote d'Opale 34 36 16 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 34 32 17 SC Bastia 34 28 18 Amiens SC 34 24 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 15 Aug Pau FC H 1–1 D 10 May SM Caen H 2–1 W 02 May En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D 25 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–3 L 19 Apr Paris FC A 0–1 L 14 Apr Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 5–2 W Season Stats
SC Bastia Pau FC #17 Position #9 28 Points 45 34 Played 34 5 / 13 / 16 W / D / L 12 / 9 / 13 23 Scored 48 42 Conceded 62 -19 GD -14 0.82 PPG 1.32 15% Win % 35% Key Stats
80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history34% Clean Sheets
SC Bastia this season29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this seasonSC Bastia are 17th (28 pts). Pau FC are 9th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Bastia0-152/216-301/131-451/–46-601/261-751/–76+1/1■ Scored ■ ConcededPau FC0-153/–16-302/331-45–/446-601/361-75–/376+3/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Pau FC gets underway.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
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Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Pau FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Frank Magri 4 Benjamin Santelli 4 Mons Bassouamina 3 Lloyd Palun 2 Henri Saivet 2 Erwin Koffi 2 Migouel Alfarela 2 Mayron George 1 Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.45 SC Bastia xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.44 Pau FC xGI would bet for: SC Bastia or Pau FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.89Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 78% 22% ± 2.5 54% 46% ± 3.5 33% 67% ± 4.5 17% 83% Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw 66%Draw or Pau FC 61%SC Bastia or Pau FC 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Bastia win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual2 – 1 8.1%1 – 2 8%0 – 0 7.4%1 – 0 7.2%0 – 1 7.1%2 – 2 5.8%2 – 0 5.7%0 – 2 5.7%3 – 1 3.9%1 – 3 3.9%3 – 2 2.9%Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Pau FC covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 11% 82% -1.5 18% — 82% -1 18% 19% 64% -0.5 36% — 64% +0.5 64% — 36% +1 64% 19% 17% +1.5 83% — 17% +2 83% 11% 7% +2.5 93% — 7% Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet 24% ✓Pau FC keeps clean sheet 24% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.