SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mikael Lesage
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | SM Caen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 5–2 | W |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Pau FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benjamin Santelli | 4 |
| Frank Magri | 4 |
| Mons Bassouamina | 3 |
| Erwin Koffi | 2 |
| Migouel Alfarela | 2 |
| Lloyd Palun | 2 |
| Henri Saivet | 2 |
| Facinet Conte | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
SC Bastia or Pau FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
70%
Draw or Pau FC
58%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Bastia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

