Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 – 4
Full Time
Tue 26 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Karim Abed
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Pau FC H 1–4 L
23 Sep Angers SCO A 0–2 L
16 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–3 L
02 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–0 D
26 Aug ES Troyes AC H 3–2 W
19 Aug Amiens SC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep SC Bastia A 4–1 W
23 Sep FC Annecy H 0–3 L
16 Sep AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Sep Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–2 D
26 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 0–4 L
19 Aug Paris FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Armand Cesari!
  • 5' SC Bastia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Pau FC have won 236 goals from 219 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nicolas Usaï might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Pau FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 27' A goal from the Senegal international Henri Saivet! He fires home on 27 to make it 0-1!
  • 32' The 30-year-old Mehdi Chahiri has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Dylan Tavares has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' That is a card for SC Bastia. Benjamin Santelli will be fuming at that decision.
  • 40' Pau FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' It’s high time Nicolas Usaï made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' A tactical swap from SC Bastia — Anthony Roncaglia on, Baye M'Baye off on 46 minutes.
  • 48' SC Bastia receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
  • 53' Migouel Alfarela, a France , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 54' Mons Bassouamina has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' Facinet Conte is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 65' It is a substitution in SC Bastia team. Dylan Tavares is replaced by Sekou Lega on 65 minute.
  • 70' Khalid Boutaib has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 71' Pau FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Khalid Boutaib is hanging Mons Bassouamina on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Pau FC make a change. Mehdi Chahiri trudges off to be replaced by Yonis Njoh on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Henri Saivet has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Jean Ruiz is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
  • 82' Yonis Njoh is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 83' The Pau FC bench stirs into life. Henri Saivet is withdrawn and Sessi D'Almeida gets his opportunity.
  • 84' Oumar Ngom is replacing Louis Mouton for the Pau FC side.
  • 85' Julien Maggiotti has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 90' Over 90 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • With this win, Pau FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: SC Bastia or Pau FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia33% Draw26% Pau FC41%
Actual: Pau FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
60%
Draw or Pau FC
67%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia26% Draw42% Pau FC32%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.