Sunday , 16 August 2026

Pau FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 2
Full Time
Fri 10 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Nouste Camp HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Pau FC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 at Nouste Camp.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Bastia H 1–2 L
03 May Angers SCO A 1–2 L
27 Apr En Avant Guingamp H 1–2 L
23 Apr ES Troyes AC A 2–2 D
20 Apr Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 3–0 W
13 Apr Valenciennes FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Pau FC A 2–1 W
03 May Amiens SC H 1–2 L
27 Apr FC Annecy A 2–3 L
23 Apr US Concarneau H 2–0 W
20 Apr En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
13 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 3–2 W

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Pau FC vs SC Bastia — let the football do the talking.
  • 3' It’s gonna be a card for Alberto Costa.
  • 8' A stunning finish from Mons Bassouamina — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Pau FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 18' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' A tactical swap from Pau FCYanis Begraoui on, Alberto Costa off on 21 minutes.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Meynadier suffering a number of foals already.
  • 31' The 29-year-old Bingourou Kamara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 36' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Felix Tomi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' Moussa Sylla needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' Pau FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Bastia backline.
  • 51' The travelling SC Bastia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' Jean Ruiz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Issiar Drame, as he is very good at scoring at Nouste Camp with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' Thomas Colleaux is replacing Charles Boli for the Pau FC side.
  • 65' SC Bastia make a change. Gaetan Charbonnier trudges off to be replaced by Christophe Vincent on 65 minutes.
  • 68' Florian Bianchini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Tomi at the 68 minute mark.
  • 70' Migouel Alfarela has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 74' Louis Mouton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christophe Vincent on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Another substitution for Pau FC to replace Steeve Beusnard by Iyad Mohamed on 79 minute.
  • 83' Goal! Migouel Alfarela scores his 18 goal in 435 matches.
  • 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 90' The referee shows SC Bastia player a card on 90.
  • SC Bastia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Pau FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Pau FC or SC Bastia 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Pau FC34% Draw27% SC Bastia39%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Pau FC or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Bastia
66%
Pau FC or SC Bastia
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Pau FC27% Draw45% SC Bastia28%
Actual: Pau FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Pau FC

Handicap Pau FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Pau FC keeps clean sheet
23%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.