Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
1 1
Full Time
Fri 15 Aug 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Pau FCLigue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Mikael Lesage

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Pau FC H 1–1 D
10 May SM Caen H 2–1 W
02 May En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D
25 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–3 L
19 Apr Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug SC Bastia A 1–1 D
09 Aug FC Annecy H 2–0 W
10 May En Avant Guingamp H 1–3 L
02 May Amiens SC A 2–4 L
26 Apr FC Metz H 2–1 W
18 Apr AC Ajaccio A 1–1 D

Season Stats

SC Bastia Pau FC
#3 Position #15
28 Points 0
34 Played 0
5 / 13 / 16 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
23 Scored 0
42 Conceded 0
-19 GD +0
0.82 PPG
15% Win %

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts). Pau FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SC Bastia to score. At the same time, Pau FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.89 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + SC Bastia or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia37% Draw35% Pau FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
72%
Draw or Pau FC
63%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia22% Draw60% Pau FC18%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.4%
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
2.4%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
0 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 22% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 19% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46%
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.