SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Mikael Lesage
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | SM Caen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 5–2 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Bastia | Pau FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #15 |
| 28 | Points | 0 |
| 34 | Played | 0 |
| 5 / 13 / 16 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 23 | Scored | 0 |
| 42 | Conceded | 0 |
| -19 | GD | +0 |
| 0.82 | PPG | – |
| 15% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts). Pau FC are 15th (0 pts).
Events
Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
Pau FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Frank Magri | 4 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 4 |
| Mons Bassouamina | 3 |
| Lloyd Palun | 2 |
| Henri Saivet | 2 |
| Erwin Koffi | 2 |
| Migouel Alfarela | 2 |
| Clement Rodrigues | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.89
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 76% + SC Bastia or Draw 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 2.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
72%
Draw or Pau FC
63%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
65%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Bastia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.4%
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
2.4%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
0 – 3
1.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 22% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

