Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 1
Full Time
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Faouzi Benchabane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Pau FC H 1–1 D
17 Jan Amiens SC A 0–1 L
11 Jan AC Ajaccio H 4–0 W
03 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–3 L
13 Dec En Avant Guingamp H 3–1 W
06 Dec Red Star FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan SC Bastia A 1–1 D
17 Jan Red Star FC A 3–1 W
10 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–1 D
04 Jan FC Metz A 0–0 D
13 Dec AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
06 Dec Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–1 L

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade Armand Cesari. SC Bastia are looking to make home advantage count against Pau FC.
  • 5' A moment of madness from Iyad Mohamed on 5 minutes earns him a card. Pau FC will be frustrated.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 26' Dominique Guidi makes way for Anthony Roncaglia at the 26 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Bastia.
  • 29' That is a card for Pau FC. Joseph Kalulu will be fuming at that decision.
  • 34' Jocelyn Janneh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' The travelling Pau FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' Pau FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 49.
  • 51' Therence Koudou adds to his 1 season tally! Pau FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Julien Maggiotti on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 60' Jean Ruiz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Johny Placide made 174 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Florian Bohnert is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lisandru Tramoni at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' Pathe Mboup is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Pau FC so far.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Pau FC. Joseph Kalulu is replaced by Tairyk Arconte.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Jordy Gaspar is booked for Pau FC — card on 80.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Jocelyn Janneh as he leaves the pitch. Mohamed Boumaaoui steps in for SC Bastia.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Kandet Diawara. He replaces Pathe Mboup on 83 minute.
  • 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Bastia and Pau FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' Khalid Boutaib is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Pau FC! Xavier Kouassi comes on to replace Iyad Mohamed.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia46% Draw27% Pau FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
73%
Draw or Pau FC
54%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia33% Draw46% Pau FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.