Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Bastia vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Pau FCLigue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Faouzi Benchabane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Pau FC H 1–1 D
17 Jan Amiens SC A 0–1 L
11 Jan AC Ajaccio H 4–0 W
03 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–3 L
13 Dec En Avant Guingamp H 3–1 W
06 Dec Red Star FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan SC Bastia A 1–1 D
17 Jan Red Star FC A 3–1 W
10 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–1 D
04 Jan FC Metz A 0–0 D
13 Dec AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
06 Dec Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–1 L

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SC Bastia host Pau FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Iyad Mohamed is having his name booked by the referee on 5.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Bastia and Pau FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' SC Bastia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Pau FC's shape.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Antoine Mille is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Bastia.
  • 26' The SC Bastia bench stirs into life. Dominique Guidi is withdrawn and Anthony Roncaglia gets his opportunity.
  • 29' Joseph Kalulu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' It’s high time Nicolas Usai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kouadio Ange Ahoussou.
  • 51' What a moment for Therence Koudou! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Julien Maggiotti.
  • 59' SC Bastia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Pau FC backline.
  • 60' Jean Ruiz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 60.
  • 65' Xavier Kouassi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' Florian Bohnert gets the nod from SC Bastia. He replaces Lisandru Tramoni and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Bastia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' A change in the Pau FC ranks — Joseph Kalulu exits the field as Tairyk Arconte enters on 77.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Jordy Gaspar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 80' Mohamed Boumaaoui gets the nod from SC Bastia. He replaces Jocelyn Janneh and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Kandet Diawara is replacing Pathe Mboup for the Pau FC side.
  • 88' France international Antonin Bobichon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Khalid Boutaib was booked on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Pau FCXavier Kouassi on, Iyad Mohamed off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia46% Draw27% Pau FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
73%
Draw or Pau FC
54%
SC Bastia or Pau FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia33% Draw46% Pau FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
31%
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.