São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #13 |
| 36 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 32 | Scored | 28 |
| 30 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | -14 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Willian Oliveira | 1 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
1.61
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or EC Vitoria
47%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

