São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | São Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Chapecoense AF | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 44 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 39 | Scored | 35 |
| 39 | Conceded | 51 |
| +0 | GD | -16 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and São Paulo FC launch into their encounter with EC Vitoria.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' São Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 16' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheuzinho.
- 17' A meaty challenge results in booking for Caca on 17.
- 20' Goal! Jonathan Calleri scores his 66 goal in 279 matches.
- 24' Gustavo Santana picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' Caique, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leandro Martinez makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 44' Djhordney was booked on 44.
- 49' The 30-year-old Jose Sabino has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 54' Matheusinho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 59' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Djhordney exits the field as Lucas Moura enters on 59.
- 60' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucas Ramon is replaced by Marcos Antonio on 60 minute.
- 65' EC Vitoria come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 69' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Lucas Silva by Tomas Pochettino on 69 minute.
- 70' The deadlock is broken! Jonathan Calleri gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
- 75' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Gustavo Santana is withdrawn and Pedro Lima gets his opportunity.
- 76' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedrinho is hanging Artur Guimaraes on the field on 76 minute.
- 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jose Sabino.
- 78' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Iago Borduchi gets a card.
- 79' Anderson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheuzinho on 79 minute.
- 84' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Damian Bobadilla trudges off to be replaced by Rafael Toloi on 84 minutes.
- 86' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Renato Kayzer gets a card.
- 90' Alex Bruno gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Leandro Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcos Antonio on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for São Paulo FC players.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 37
- 9
- 12
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 28
- 16
- 48
- 43
Bench
- 7
- 18
- 2
- 8
- 27
- 17
- 29
- 31
- 32
- 46
- 49
- 45
Coach
Dorival Júnior
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 36
- 83
- 1
-
6
Leandro Martinez ↓ Alex Bruno 90'
- 98
-
10
Matheuzinho ↓ Anderson 79'
- 95
-
20
Lucas Silva ↓ Tomas Pochettino 69'
-
91
Carlos Rene ↓ Renato Kayzer 79'
Bench
- 7
- 15
-
8
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 69'
- 2
- 23
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 79'
- 71
- 77
-
88
Ze Vitor ↑ 79'
- 26
-
28
Anderson ↑ 79'
-
9
Alex Bruno ↑ 90'
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Leandro Martinez | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Bruno Alves | 1 |
| Jose Sabino | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
50%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

