Sunday , 27 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SC Internacional H 1–0 W
12 Sep SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
05 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
29 Aug RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
23 Aug Chapecoense AF A 0–1 L
16 Aug Coritiba FBC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–3 L
13 Sep Mirassol FC A 2–2 D
07 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
29 Aug CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
23 Aug EC Bahia H 0–2 L
16 Aug Botafogo FR H 1–0 W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC EC Vitoria
#11 Position #13
36 Points 33
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 13
32 Scored 28
30 Conceded 42
+2 GD -14
1.33 PPG 1.18
37% Win % 32%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

H2H

Predictions

1.61 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

São Paulo FC53% Draw26% EC Vitoria21%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.52

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or EC Vitoria
47%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
74%

Half-Time Result

São Paulo FC36% Draw48% EC Vitoria16%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.