Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A .
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 May | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 May | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 45 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 42 | Scored | 32 |
| 40 | Conceded | 30 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 46% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Cruzeiro EC kicks off things out of here…
- 3' The deadlock is broken! Rafinha gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
- 8' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 18' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 23' Brazil international Matheus Jussa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cruzeiro EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 43' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 46' Luciano is replacing Alisson for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 51' Cruzeiro EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 56' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ferreira scoring 3 goals.
- 61' Wellington Rato has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' David gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Jhegson Mendez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' A moment of madness from Rodrigo Nestor on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 76' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Rodrigo Nestor is replaced by Rodrigo Huendra on 76 minute.
- 81' Rodrigo Huendra was booked on 81.
- 84' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Marcos Paulo on, Caio Paulista off on 84 minutes.
- 87' Ian Luccas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Filipe Machado at the 87 minute mark.
- 88' David was booked on 88.
- 90' Henrique Dourado picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cruzeiro EC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Filipe Machado ↓ Ian Luccas 87'
Bench
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Ian Luccas ↑ 87'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- 80
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
38
Caio Paulista ↓ Marcos Paulo 84'
- 13
- 9
-
21
Jhegson Mendez ↓ David 70'
- 11
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Juan Santos 70'
- 29
- 35
- 23
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 70'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 46'
- 93
- 8
- 28
-
32
Marcos Paulo ↑ 84'
- 36
- 47
-
18
Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 76'
- 45
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 70'
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Matheus Pereira | 1 |
| Alexandre Pato | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
72%
Draw or São Paulo FC
59%
Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

