Thursday , 2 July 2026

Moreirense FC vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs CD TondelaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sergio Guelho
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 7.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan CD Tondela H 1–0 W
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D
29 Nov FC Famalicão H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Moreirense FC A 0–1 L
03 Jan FC Arouca H 3–1 W
21 Dec Casa Pia AC H 1–2 L
15 Dec CD Nacional A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Porto H 0–2 L
29 Nov Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Moreirense FC CD Tondela
#7 Position #17
43 Points 28
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 18
37 Scored 27
49 Conceded 55
-12 GD -28
1.26 PPG 0.82
35% Win % 18%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season

Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts). CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Moreirense FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC48% Draw28% CD Tondela24%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Tondela
52%
Moreirense FC or CD Tondela
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC31% Draw50% CD Tondela19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.