Friday , 7 August 2026

FC Alverca vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
FC Alverca
2 – 1
Full Time
Moreirense FC
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Alverca vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Luis Godinho
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 32 80
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 33 77
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 32 56
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 33 47
7 Moreirense FC 33 43
8 FC Arouca 33 42
9 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
10 Vitória SC 33 39
11 FC Alverca 33 36
12 Rio Ave FC 33 36
13 CD Santa Clara 33 33
14 CD Nacional 33 31
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 33 30
16 Casa Pia AC 32 30
17 CD Tondela 32 27
18 AVS 33 20

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Alverca 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Moreirense FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-17 FC Alverca 2–1 Moreirense FC 2025-08-10 Moreirense FC 2–1 FC Alverca

Recent Form

FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Moreirense FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan FC Famalicão H 1–0 W
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
Moreirense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC Alverca A 1–2 L
11 Jan CD Tondela H 1–0 W
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D

Season Stats

FC Alverca Moreirense FC
#11 Position #7
36 Points 43
33 Played 33
9 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 14
33 Scored 36
51 Conceded 45
-18 GD -9
1.09 PPG 1.30
27% Win % 36%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Alverca are 11th (36 pts). Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: FC Alverca or Moreirense FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca39% Draw28% Moreirense FC33%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
67%
Draw or Moreirense FC
61%
FC Alverca or Moreirense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca25% Draw49% Moreirense FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.