Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2022-23 SEMI FINALS

Wed 17 May 2023 · 19:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tomasz Kwiatkowski
  • Referee Bartosz Frankowski
  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Referee Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
  • Referee Pawel Sokolnicki

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Real Madrid CF H 4–0 W
14 May Everton FC A 3–0 W
09 May Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
06 May Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
03 May West Ham United FC H 3–0 W
30 Apr Fulham FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
13 May Getafe CF H 1–0 W
09 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
02 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–2 L
29 Apr UD Almeria H 4–2 W
25 Apr Girona FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Real Madrid CF
#8 Position #9
16 Points 15
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
15 Scored 21
9 Conceded 12
+6 GD +9
2.00 PPG 1.88
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC63% Draw20% Real Madrid CF17%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
37%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC47% Draw37% Real Madrid CF16%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 21% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.