Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2022-23 LAST 16

Wed 15 Mar 2023 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Liverpool FCChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Sven Jablonski

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
11 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 3–1 W
05 Mar Real Betis Balompie A 0–0 D
25 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–1 D
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 5–2 W
18 Feb CA Osasuna A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
11 Mar AFC Bournemouth A 0–1 L
05 Mar Manchester United FC H 7–0 W
01 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–0 D
21 Feb Real Madrid CF H 2–5 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Liverpool FC
#9 Position #3
15 Points 18
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
21 Scored 20
12 Conceded 8
+9 GD +12
1.88 PPG 2.25
63% Win % 75%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Real Madrid CF and Liverpool FC.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' It looks surprising Liverpool FC does not make any changes. Cody Gakpo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Liverpool FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Dani Carvajal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 545 appearances.
  • 57' The Liverpool FC bench stirs into life. Diogo Jota is withdrawn and Harvey Elliott gets his opportunity.
  • 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Liverpool FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 72' The travelling Liverpool FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' A moment of madness from Jurgen Klopp on 73 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Liverpool FC will be frustrated.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Liverpool FC! Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain comes on to replace James Milner.
  • 78' Karim Benzema puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
  • 79' Karim Benzema makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Luka Modric is replaced by Dani Ceballos on 82 minute.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Karim Benzema as he leaves the pitch. Rodrygo steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 84' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Vinicius Junior by Marco Asensio on 84 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Vazquez. He replaces Dani Carvajal on 86 minute.
  • 90' The whistle greets Andrew Robertson as he departs to be replaced by Kostas Tsimikas.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kostas Tsimikas.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF53% Draw24% Liverpool FC23%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
76%
Draw or Liverpool FC
47%
Real Madrid CF or Liverpool FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF33% Draw44% Liverpool FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
29%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.