Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:15 UTC El Sadar HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Vinicius Junior
Ante Budimir 7' 1–1
1–2 18' Dani Carvajal
1–3 61' Brahim Diaz
1–4 64' Vinicius Junior
Iker Munoz 90+1' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at El Sadar.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Real Madrid CF H 2–4 L
09 Mar Girona FC A 0–2 L
04 Mar Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
25 Feb UD Las Palmas A 1–1 D
17 Feb Cadiz CF H 2–0 W
10 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar CA Osasuna A 4–2 W
10 Mar RC Celta de Vigo H 4–0 W
06 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D

Season Stats

CA Osasuna Real Madrid CF
#16 Position #2
42 Points 86
38 Played 38
11 / 9 / 18 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
44 Scored 77
50 Conceded 35
-6 GD +42
1.11 PPG 2.26
29% Win % 71%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

CA Osasuna are 16th (42 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF — let the football do the talking.
  • 4' Vinicius Junior adds to his 5 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 7' Ante Budimir does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Osasuna surge ahead!
  • 12' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Osasuna is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' Dani Carvajal puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
  • 23' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 28' Aurelien Tchouameni has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' Poor challenge from Jorge Herrando. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Osasuna must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 44.
  • 49' Morocco international Brahim Diaz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Eduardo Camavinga argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 55' CA Osasuna receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 60' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Lucas Torro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Brahim Diaz doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' A moment of madness from Unai Garcia on 63 minutes earns him a card. CA Osasuna will be frustrated.
  • 64' Assisted by Federico Valverde with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. 1-4!
  • 69' The CA Osasuna bench stirs into life. Jose Arnaiz is withdrawn and Ruben Garcia gets his opportunity.
  • 70' Catena makes way for Iker Munoz at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Osasuna.
  • 72' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Brahim Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
  • 77' The whistle greets Toni Kroos as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez.
  • 79' Time for substitution for CA Osasuna. Jorge Herrando is replaced by Juan Cruz.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Vinicius Junior has done his job and it is now time for Arda Guler to step up.
  • 90' Jorge Herrando has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 266 appearances.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17 CA Osasuna xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Osasuna22% Draw23% Real Madrid CF55%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

CA Osasuna or Draw
45%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
78%
CA Osasuna or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Osasuna17% Draw40% Real Madrid CF43%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Osasuna

Handicap CA Osasuna covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

CA Osasuna keeps clean sheet
12%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.