Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs AFC Ajax, 2018-19 ROUND OF 16

UEFA Champions League · 2018-19
Tue 5 Mar 2019 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Nacho 90' Y
Nacho 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs AFC Ajax — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Daniel Siebert

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar AFC Ajax H 1–4 L
02 Mar FC Barcelona H 0–1 L
24 Feb Levante UD A 2–1 W
17 Feb Girona FC H 1–2 L
13 Feb AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
09 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Real Madrid CF A 4–1 W
24 Feb ADO Den Haag A 5–1 W
17 Feb NAC Breda H 5–0 W
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
09 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
02 Feb VVV Venlo H 6–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF AFC Ajax
#9 Position #32
15 Points 6
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 6
21 Scored 8
12 Conceded 21
+9 GD -13
1.88 PPG 0.75
63% Win % 25%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). AFC Ajax are 32nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, AFC Ajax does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Reguilon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 7' Hakim Ziyech does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 12' David Neres is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 17' Nicolas Tagliafico has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 18' David Neres makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 26' Noussair Mazraoui picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 29' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Lucas Vazquez is replaced by Gareth Bale on 29 minute.
  • 30' That is a Yellow card for Real Madrid CF. Dani Carvajal will be fuming at that decision.
  • 35' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Vinicius Junior by Marco Asensio on 35 minute.
  • 40' Lucas Vazquez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 60' Matthijs de Ligt, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 62' What a moment for Dusan Tadic! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' What composure from Marco Asensio! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-3.
  • 72' A goal from the Denmark international Lasse Schone! He fires home on 72 to make it 1-4!
  • 73' Dani de Wit has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lasse Schone on 73 minute.
  • 74' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Dolberg is hanging David Neres on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erik ten Hag will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 80' Joel Veltman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Noussair Mazraoui on 80 minute.
  • 85' France international Raphael Varane has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Casemiro is replaced by Federico Valverde.
  • 90' Nacho was booked on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.91 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF53% Draw21% AFC Ajax26%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
74%
Draw or AFC Ajax
47%
Real Madrid CF or AFC Ajax
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF46% Draw33% AFC Ajax21%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.4%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 18% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.