Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 9 Feb 2019 · 17:30 UTC Polman Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Polman Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Rens Bluemink
  • Referee Rogier Honig
  • Referee Martin Perez
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–0 W
03 Feb ADO Den Haag A 0–2 L
26 Jan PEC Zwolle H 0–2 L
19 Jan FC Groningen A 0–3 L
22 Dec SBV Excelsior A 3–0 W
15 Dec PSV H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
02 Feb VVV Venlo H 6–0 W
27 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–6 L
20 Jan SC Heerenveen H 4–4 D
23 Dec FC Utrecht A 3–1 W
16 Dec VBV De Graafschap H 8–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Polman Stadion. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against AFC Ajax.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Wormuth will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' Mohammed Osman does the damage! The net is bulging and Heracles Almelo surge ahead!
  • 22' Klaas-Jan Huntelaar has been relatively quiet despite scoring 50 goals in his last 492 appearances.
  • 27' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Klaas-Jan Huntelaar on 41 minutes.
  • 46' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexander Merkel, as he is very good at scoring at Polman Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Adrian Dalmau has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joey Konings on 60 minute.
  • 63' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Lasse Schone is replaced by Noussair Mazraoui.
  • 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 72' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Jesper Drost is withdrawn and Yoell van Nieff gets his opportunity.
  • 77' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 79' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 79 minute. Frenkie de Jong leaves to be changed by Kasper Dolberg.
  • 81' Heracles Almelo receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 81.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' Mats Knoester gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Lennart-Marten Czyborra and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Heracles Almelo to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo44% Draw28% AFC Ajax28%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Ajax
56%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo29% Draw49% AFC Ajax22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.