Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 9 Feb 2019 · 17:30 UTC Polman Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Polman Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Rens Bluemink
  • Referee Rogier Honig
  • Referee Martin Perez
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–0 W
03 Feb ADO Den Haag A 0–2 L
26 Jan PEC Zwolle H 0–2 L
19 Jan FC Groningen A 0–3 L
22 Dec SBV Excelsior A 3–0 W
15 Dec PSV H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
02 Feb VVV Venlo H 6–0 W
27 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–6 L
20 Jan SC Heerenveen H 4–4 D
23 Dec FC Utrecht A 3–1 W
16 Dec VBV De Graafschap H 8–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Polman Stadion that hosts another battle between Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Frank Wormuth might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 17' Mohammed Osman makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Heracles Almelo are in front.
  • 22' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 32' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' Lennart-Marten Czyborra has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Klaas-Jan Huntelaar on 41.
  • 46' Janis Blaswich has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Heracles AlmeloAdrian Dalmau on, Joey Konings off on 60 minutes.
  • 63' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Lasse Schone exits the field as Noussair Mazraoui enters on 63.
  • 68' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 72' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Jesper Drost is withdrawn and Yoell van Nieff gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Jesper Drost is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 79' A tactical swap from AFC AjaxKasper Dolberg on, Frenkie de Jong off on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Maximilian Rossmann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
  • 86' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' Mats Knoester gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Lennart-Marten Czyborra and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Ajax.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo44% Draw28% AFC Ajax28%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Ajax
56%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo29% Draw49% AFC Ajax22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
34%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.