Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 9 Feb 2019 · 17:30 UTC Polman Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Polman Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Rens Bluemink
  • Referee Rogier Honig
  • Referee Martin Perez
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–0 W
03 Feb ADO Den Haag A 0–2 L
26 Jan PEC Zwolle H 0–2 L
19 Jan FC Groningen A 0–3 L
22 Dec SBV Excelsior A 3–0 W
15 Dec PSV H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
02 Feb VVV Venlo H 6–0 W
27 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–6 L
20 Jan SC Heerenveen H 4–4 D
23 Dec FC Utrecht A 3–1 W
16 Dec VBV De Graafschap H 8–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Polman Stadion that hosts another battle between Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' What a moment for Mohammed Osman! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' AFC Ajax receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 46' Heracles Almelo have won 284 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact .
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 60' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 60 minute. Joey Konings leaves to be changed by Adrian Dalmau.
  • 63' Noussair Mazraoui has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lasse Schone on 63 minute.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 72 minute. Jesper Drost leaves to be changed by Yoell van Nieff.
  • 77' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 79' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Kasper Dolberg comes on to replace Frenkie de Jong.
  • 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maximilian Rossmann on 81.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noussair Mazraoui made 480 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Mats Knoester has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lennart-Marten Czyborra on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Heracles Almelo is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo44% Draw28% AFC Ajax28%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Ajax
56%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo29% Draw49% AFC Ajax22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
34%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.